Banks Canadian Stocks

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC), incorporated on May 17, 1995, is a global financial institution. The Company provides a range of financial products and services to approximately 11 million individual, small business, commercial, corporate and institutional clients in Canada and around the world. The Company operates through three segments: Retail and Business Banking, Wealth Management and Capital Markets. The Company’s Retail and Business Banking segment provides personal and business clients across Canada with financial advice, products and services in its banking centers or through remote channels, such as mobile advisors, telephone, online or mobile banking. The Company’s Wealth Management segment provides advice and investment solutions. The Company’s Capital Markets segment provides integrated credit and global markets products, investment banking advisory services and research to corporate, government and institutional clients around the world.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of TSE-CM – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $51,959,440,000 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 122.52% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 10.95 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.58 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $10.83
MG Growth Estimate 6.31%
MG Value $228.71
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A
MG Value based on 3% Growth $157.00
MG Value based on 0% Growth $92.03
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.23%
Current Price $118.58
% of Intrinsic Value 51.85%

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (USA) qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $7.62 in 2014 to an estimated $10.83 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.23% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (USA) revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $133.77. The company pays a dividend of $5.08 per share, for a yield of 4.3%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.95, which was below the industry average of 20.05, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (USA) fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $133.77
PEmg 10.95
PB Ratio 1.58
Dividend Yield 4.28%
TTM Dividend $5.08
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

 

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 4/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $4,633,000,000
Total Assets $590,537,000,000
Intangible Assets $7,375,000,000
Total Liabilities $556,991,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 445,658,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $11.95
Oct2017 $11.24
Oct2016 $10.70
Oct2015 $8.87
Oct2014 $7.86
Oct2013 $8.11
Oct2012 $7.76
Oct2011 $6.71
Oct2010 $5.87
Oct2009 $2.65
Oct2008 -$5.89
Oct2007 $9.21
Oct2006 $7.43
Oct2005 -$0.46
Oct2004 $5.53
Oct2003 $5.18
Oct2002 $1.35
Oct2001 $4.13
Oct2000 $4.86
Oct1999 $2.22
Oct1998 $2.26

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $10.83
Oct2017 $9.96
Oct2016 $9.10
Oct2015 $8.16
Oct2014 $7.62
Oct2013 $7.07
Oct2012 $5.51
Oct2011 $4.16
Oct2010 $3.21
Oct2009 $2.11
Oct2008 $2.29
Oct2007 $6.04
Oct2006 $4.24
Oct2005 $2.81
Oct2004 $4.37
Oct2003 $3.71
Oct2002 $2.97

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

5 Undervalued Canadian Stocks for Intelligent Investors – February 2017
10 Best Dividend Paying Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – February 2017
10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – February 2017
15 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 1/14/17
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – Initial Coverage $TSE:CM

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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