Silgan Holdings Inc Valuation – August 2018 $SLGN
Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Silgan Holdings Inc., incorporated on April 6, 1989, is a holding company. The Company is a manufacturer of rigid packaging for consumer goods products. The Company operates in three business segments: metal containers, closures and plastic containers. Its metal container segment is engaged in the manufacture and sale of steel and aluminum containers for human and pet food and general line products. Its closures segment manufactures and sells metal, composite and plastic closures for food and beverage products. Its plastic containers segment manufactures and sells custom designed plastic containers and closures for personal care, food, healthcare, pharmaceutical, household and industrial chemical, pet care, agricultural, automotive and marine chemical products.
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ModernGraham Valuation of SLGN – August 2018
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $2,993,661,141 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 2 | 2.26 | Pass | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | 69.90% | Pass | |
| 6. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 14.85 | Pass | |
| 7. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 3.66 | Fail | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 1.5 | 2.26 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Debt to NCA < 1.1 | 3.08 | Fail | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Pass | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $1.85 |
| MG Growth Estimate | 6.01% |
| MG Value | $38.02 |
| Opinion | Undervalued |
| MG Grade | B |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $26.86 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $15.75 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 3.17% |
| Current Price | $27.51 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 72.36% |
Silgan Holdings Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.32 in 2014 to an estimated $1.85 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.17% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Silgan Holdings Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $17.72. The company pays a dividend of $0.36 per share, for a yield of 1.3% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.85, which was below the industry average of 21.21, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-22.36.
Silgan Holdings Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) | -$22.36 |
| Graham Number | $17.72 |
| PEmg | 14.85 |
| Current Ratio | 2.26 |
| PB Ratio | 3.66 |
| Current Dividend | $0.36 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 14 |
Useful Links:
| ModernGraham tagged articles | Morningstar |
| Google Finance | MSN Money |
| Yahoo Finance | Seeking Alpha |
| GuruFocus | SEC Filings |
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 6/1/2018 |
| Total Current Assets | $1,726,800,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | $765,000,000 |
| Long-Term Debt | $2,962,700,000 |
| Total Assets | $5,059,700,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $0 |
| Total Liabilities | $4,221,700,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 111,574,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| EPS History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $2.01 |
| Dec2017 | $2.42 |
| Dec2016 | $1.27 |
| Dec2015 | $1.41 |
| Dec2014 | $1.43 |
| Dec2013 | $1.44 |
| Dec2012 | $1.09 |
| Dec2011 | $1.38 |
| Dec2010 | $0.95 |
| Dec2009 | $1.04 |
| Dec2008 | $0.82 |
| Dec2007 | $0.81 |
| Dec2006 | $0.69 |
| Dec2005 | $0.58 |
| Dec2004 | $0.57 |
| Dec2003 | $0.29 |
| Dec2002 | $0.37 |
| Dec2001 | $0.29 |
| Dec2000 | $0.22 |
| Dec1999 | $0.17 |
| Dec1998 | $0.29 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| EPSmg History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $1.85 |
| Dec2017 | $1.71 |
| Dec2016 | $1.35 |
| Dec2015 | $1.37 |
| Dec2014 | $1.32 |
| Dec2013 | $1.24 |
| Dec2012 | $1.11 |
| Dec2011 | $1.08 |
| Dec2010 | $0.91 |
| Dec2009 | $0.85 |
| Dec2008 | $0.74 |
| Dec2007 | $0.66 |
| Dec2006 | $0.56 |
| Dec2005 | $0.47 |
| Dec2004 | $0.39 |
| Dec2003 | $0.29 |
| Dec2002 | $0.28 |
Recommended Reading:
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
Silgan Holdings Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $SLGN
Other ModernGraham posts about related companies
Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
