Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): CNO Financial Group, Inc., incorporated on March 25, 2003, is a holding company for a group of insurance companies operating throughout the United States that develops, markets and administers health insurance, annuity, individual life insurance and other insurance products. The Company’s segments include Bankers Life, Washington National and Colonial Penn. It sells health insurance, annuity, individual life insurance and other insurance products through three primary distribution channels: career agents, independent producers and direct marketing.
Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
|Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.|
|1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise||Market Cap > $2Bil||$3,730,850,520||Pass|
|2. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 10 years prior||Pass|
|3. Dividend Record||Dividend Payments for 10 years prior||Fail|
|4. Earnings Growth||Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end||96.14%||Pass|
|5. Moderate PEmg Ratio||PEmg < 20||14.28||Pass|
|6. Moderate Price to Assets||PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50||0.84||Pass|
|Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.|
|1. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 5 years prior||Pass|
|2. Dividend Record||Currently Pays Dividend||Pass|
|3. Earnings Growth||EPSmg greater than 5 years ago||Pass|
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
|MG Growth Estimate||8.04%|
|MG Value based on 3% Growth||$22.60|
|MG Value based on 0% Growth||$13.25|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||2.89%|
|% of Intrinsic Value||58.09%|
CNO Financial Group Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.01 in 2014 to an estimated $1.56 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.89% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into CNO Financial Group Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $36.61. The company pays a dividend of $0.35 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.28, which was below the industry average of 36.08, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.
CNO Financial Group Inc performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
|Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth||6|
|ModernGraham tagged articles||Morningstar|
|Google Finance||MSN Money|
|Yahoo Finance||Seeking Alpha|
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
|Balance Sheet Information||6/1/2018|
|Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation||$3,980,100,000|
|Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)||167,978,000|
Earnings Per Share History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$2.05|
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$1.56|
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
|12 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 2/4/17|
|Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – January 2017|
|CNO Financial Group Inc Valuation – January 2017 $CNO|
Other ModernGraham posts about related companies
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here. This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions. ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner. Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.