Construction Stocks

KBR Inc Valuation – August 2018 $KBR

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): KBR, Inc. (KBR), incorporated on March 21, 2006, is a provider of professional services and technologies across the asset and program life-cycle within the government services and hydrocarbons industries. The Company operates through business segments, including Technology & Consulting (T&C), Engineering & Construction (E&C), Government Services (GS), Non-strategic Business and Other. Its solutions include engineering services, mission and logistics support solutions, technology licensing, consulting, procurement, construction, construction management, program management, operations, maintenance and other support services to a customer base, including domestic and foreign governments, international and national oil and gas companies, independent refiners, petrochemical producers, fertilizer producers and manufacturers. As of December 31, 2016, it had offices around the world with operations in over 40 countries and served customers in over 70 countries.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of KBR – August 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $2,812,565,612 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.28 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -35.75% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 20.71 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.75 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.28 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.91 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.97
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $37.19
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade C-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $14.01
MG Value based on 0% Growth $8.21
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.11%
Current Price $20.01
% of Intrinsic Value 53.80%

KBR, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-2 in 2014 to an estimated $0.97 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 6.11% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into KBR, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $19.26. The company pays a dividend of $0.32 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.71, which was below the industry average of 24.98, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-10.19.

KBR, Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$10.19
Graham Number $19.26
PEmg 20.71
Current Ratio 1.28
PB Ratio 1.75
Current Dividend $0.32
Dividend Yield 1.60%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Total Current Assets $1,663,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,297,000,000
Long-Term Debt $1,065,000,000
Total Assets $4,710,000,000
Intangible Assets $1,815,000,000
Total Liabilities $3,100,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 141,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.88
Dec2017 $3.06
Dec2016 -$0.43
Dec2015 $1.40
Dec2014 -$8.66
Dec2013 $0.50
Dec2012 $0.97
Dec2011 $3.16
Dec2010 $2.07
Dec2009 $1.79
Dec2008 $1.90
Dec2007 $1.79
Dec2006 $1.20
Dec2005 $1.76
Dec2004 -$2.23
Dec2003 -$0.98
Dec2002 -$0.68

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.97
Dec2017 $0.06
Dec2016 -$1.37
Dec2015 -$1.40
Dec2014 -$2.00
Dec2013 $1.45
Dec2012 $1.95
Dec2011 $2.34
Dec2010 $1.87
Dec2009 $1.74
Dec2008 $1.44
Dec2007 $0.91
Dec2006 $0.25
Dec2005 -$0.29
Dec2004 -$1.14
Dec2003 -$0.51
Dec2002 -$0.23

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

KBR Inc. Valuation – Initial Coverage $KBR

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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