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Carlisle Companies Inc Valuation – August 2018 $CSL

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Carlisle Companies Incorporated, incorporated on February 28, 1986, is a manufacturing company. The Company designs, manufactures and markets a range of products that serve a range of markets, including commercial roofing, energy, agriculture, mining, construction, aerospace and defense electronics, medical technology, transportation, general industrial, protective coatings, wood, auto refinishing and sanitary maintenance. The Company operates through four segments: Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM or Construction Materials); Carlisle Interconnect Technologies (CIT or Interconnect Technologies); Carlisle Fluid Technologies (CFT or Fluid Technologies); and Carlisle Brake & Friction (CBF or Brake & Friction). The Company markets its products as a component supplier to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors, among others.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CSL – August 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

 

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $7,618,223,701 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 3.10 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 158.75% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 19.59 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.91 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 3.10 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 1.08 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $6.51
MG Growth Estimate 12.80%
MG Value $221.97
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $94.40
MG Value based on 0% Growth $55.34
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.54%
Current Price $127.53
% of Intrinsic Value 57.45%

Carlisle Companies, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.51 in 2014 to an estimated $6.51 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.54% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Carlisle Companies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $95.82. The company pays a dividend of $1.44 per share, for a yield of 1.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.59, which was above the industry average of 18.51. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-9.61.

Carlisle Companies, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$9.61
Graham Number $95.82
PEmg 19.59
Current Ratio 3.10
PB Ratio 2.91
Current Dividend $1.44
Dividend Yield 1.13%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

 

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Total Current Assets $2,169,400,000
Total Current Liabilities $700,400,000
Long-Term Debt $1,586,900,000
Total Assets $5,428,200,000
Intangible Assets $2,467,200,000
Total Liabilities $2,755,900,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 61,059,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $9.98
Dec2017 $5.71
Dec2016 $3.82
Dec2015 $4.82
Dec2014 $3.82
Dec2013 $3.22
Dec2012 $4.22
Dec2011 $2.86
Dec2010 $2.34
Dec2009 $2.34
Dec2008 $0.91
Dec2007 $3.44
Dec2006 $3.49
Dec2005 $1.71
Dec2004 $1.27
Dec2003 $1.44
Dec2002 $0.47
Dec2001 $0.41
Dec2000 $1.57
Dec1999 $1.57
Dec1998 $1.39

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $6.51
Dec2017 $4.61
Dec2016 $4.03
Dec2015 $4.02
Dec2014 $3.51
Dec2013 $3.24
Dec2012 $3.01
Dec2011 $2.40
Dec2010 $2.28
Dec2009 $2.29
Dec2008 $2.23
Dec2007 $2.68
Dec2006 $2.10
Dec2005 $1.29
Dec2004 $1.06
Dec2003 $1.00
Dec2002 $0.88

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – August 2017
Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – March 2017
11 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week – 3/4/17
Carlisle Companies Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $CSL

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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