Auto Stocks

Delphi Technologies PLC Valuation – August 2018 $DLPH

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Delphi Technologies PLC is a United Kingdom-based company that develops designs and manufactures powertrain technologies for original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The Company also offers full suite of aftermarket products. The Company segments Products & Service Solutions (PSS).

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of DLPH – August 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $3,197,170,999 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.59 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 45649900.00% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 13.89 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 10.02 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.59 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.02 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.59
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $99.79
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade C-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $37.58
MG Value based on 0% Growth $22.03
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.70%
Current Price $36.01
% of Intrinsic Value 36.09%

Delphi Technologies PLC does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0 in 2014 to an estimated $2.59 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.7% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Delphi Technologies PLC revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $8.45. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 13.89, which was below the industry average of 18.51, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-15.26.

Delphi Technologies PLC receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$15.26
Graham Number $8.45
PEmg 13.89
Current Ratio 1.59
PB Ratio 10.02
Current Dividend $0.00
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 6/1/2018
Total Current Assets $1,991,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,251,000,000
Long-Term Debt $1,498,000,000
Total Assets $3,670,000,000
Intangible Assets $77,000,000
Total Liabilities $3,350,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 89,050,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.14
Dec2017 $3.21
Dec2016 $1.78

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.59
Dec2017 $1.54
Dec2016 $0.59

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Delphi Automotive PLC Valuation – February 2017 $DLPH
Delphi Automotive PLC Valuation – August 2016 $DLPH
Delphi Automotive Analysis – 2015 Update $DLPH
17 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – June 21, 2014
Delphi Automotive Annual Valuation – 2014 $DLPH

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc Valuation – August 2018 $CPS
Copart Inc Valuation – August 2018 $CPRT
Standard Motor Products Inc Valuation – August 2018 $SMP
Harley-Davidson Inc Valuation – June 2018 $HOG
Advance Auto Parts Inc Valuation – June 2018 $AAP
LKQ Corporation – June 2018 $LKQ
Aptiv PLC Valuation – Initial Coverage May 2018 $APTV
BorgWarner Inc Valuation – April 2018 $BWA
CarMax Inc Valuation – April 2018 $KMX
Ford Motor Company Valuation – April 2018 $F

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Back To Top