Company ProfileÂ (excerpt from Reuters): L Brands, Inc., incorporated on March 16, 1982, operates specialty retail business. The Company is focused on women’s intimate and other apparel, personal care, beauty and home fragrance categories. The Company’s segments include Victoria’s Secret, Bath & Body Works, and Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Works International. The Company sells its merchandise through company-owned specialty retail stores in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and Greater China (China and Hong Kong), which are mall-based; through Websites, and through international franchise, license and wholesale partners. The Company operates in the retail brands, which include Victoria’s Secret, PINK, Bath & Body Works and La Senza. La Senza is a specialty retailer of women’s intimate apparel. As of January 28, 2017, the Company sold its La Senza products at over 120 La Senza stores in Canada and online at www.LaSenza.com. As of January 28, 2017, Henri Bendel sold handbags, jewelry and other accessory products through New York and 28 other stores, as well as online at www.HenriBendel.com. Mast Global is a merchandise sourcing and production function serving the Company and its international partners.
Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
|Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.|
|1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise||Market Cap > $2Bil||$7,623,713,498||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 2||1.37||Fail|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 10 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Dividend Payments for 10 years prior||Pass|
|5. Earnings Growth||Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end||48.23%||Pass|
|6. Moderate PEmg Ratio||PEmg < 20||8.54||Pass|
|7. Moderate Price to Assets||PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50||-5.81||Fail|
|Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.|
|1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 1.5||1.37||Fail|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Debt to NCA < 1.1||7.35||Fail|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 5 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Currently Pays Dividend||Pass|
|5. Earnings Growth||EPSmg greater than 5 years ago||Pass|
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
|MG Growth Estimate||1.17%|
|MG Value based on 3% Growth||$47.04|
|MG Value based on 0% Growth||$27.57|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||0.02%|
|% of Intrinsic Value||78.80%|
L Brands Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.01 in 2015 to an estimated $3.24 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 0.02% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into L Brands Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $0. The company pays a dividend of $2.4 per share, for a yield of 8.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 8.54, which was below the industry average of 32.21, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-22.57.
L Brands Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
|Net Current Asset Value (NCAV)||-$22.57|
|Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth||7|
|ModernGraham tagged articles||Morningstar|
|Google Finance||MSN Money|
|Yahoo Finance||Seeking Alpha|
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
|Balance Sheet Information||10/1/2018|
|Total Current Assets||$2,933,000,000|
|Total Current Liabilities||$2,142,000,000|
|Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)||275,000,000|
Earnings Per Share History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$2.22|
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$3.24|
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The author did not hold aÂ position in any company mentioned in this articleÂ at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. Â See my current holdings here. Â This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to aÂ registeredÂ investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions. Â ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner. Â Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.