Apparel Stocks

Hanesbrands Inc Valuation – January 2019 $HBI

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Hanesbrands Inc., incorporated on September 30, 2005, is a marketer of basic innerwear and activewear apparel in the Americas, Europe, Australia and Asia/Pacific. The Company operates through four segments: Innerwear, Activewear, Direct to Consumer and International. The Company primarily sells bras, panties, shapewear, hosiery, men’s underwear, children’s underwear, socks, T-shirts and other activewear. As of December 31, 2016, the Company distributed its products from 44 distribution centers. As of December 31, 2016, these facilities included 15 facilities located in the United States and 29 facilities located outside the United States in regions primarily where the Company sold its products. As of December 31, 2016, the Company internally managed and operated 32 of these facilities, and the Company used third-party logistics providers that operated the other 12 facilities on its behalf.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of HBI – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $4,801,356,381 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.84 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 128.49% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 12.85 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 5.57 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.84 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 2.26 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.04
MG Growth Estimate 5.62%
MG Value $20.45
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $15.02
MG Value based on 0% Growth $8.81
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.17%
Current Price $13.31
% of Intrinsic Value 65.10%

Hanesbrands Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, poor dividend history, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.75 in 2014 to an estimated $1.04 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.17% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Hanesbrands Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $8.05. The company pays a dividend of $0.6 per share, for a yield of 4.5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 12.85, which was below the industry average of 32.21, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-7.81.

Hanesbrands Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$7.81
Graham Number $8.05
PEmg 12.85
Current Ratio 1.84
PB Ratio 5.57
Current Dividend $0.60
Dividend Yield 4.51%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Total Current Assets $3,737,205,000
Total Current Liabilities $2,027,128,000
Long-Term Debt $3,863,580,000
Total Assets $7,455,506,000
Intangible Assets $2,838,672,000
Total Liabilities $6,584,918,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 364,638,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.51
Dec2017 $0.17
Dec2016 $1.40
Dec2015 $1.06
Dec2014 $0.99
Dec2013 $0.81
Dec2012 $0.41
Dec2011 $0.67
Dec2010 $0.54
Dec2009 $0.14
Dec2008 $0.34
Dec2007 $0.33
Jun2006 $0.84
Jun2005 $0.57
Jun2004 $1.17
Jun2003 $1.11
Jun2002 $0.88c

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.04
Dec2017 $0.83
Dec2016 $1.08
Dec2015 $0.88
Dec2014 $0.75
Dec2013 $0.59
Dec2012 $0.46
Dec2011 $0.46
Dec2010 $0.38
Dec2009 $0.35
Dec2008 $0.52
Dec2007 $0.68
Jun2006 $0.87
Jun2005 $0.84
Jun2004 $0.86
Jun2003 $0.61
Jun2002 $0.29

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

10 Best Dividend Paying Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – September 2018
10 Best Dividend Paying Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – May 2018
5 Companies for Enterprising Investors Near 52 Week Lows – April 2018
5 Great Stocks This Week – 3/12/18
Hanesbrands Inc Valuation – March 2018 $HBI

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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