Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc Valuation – January 2019 $ZBH
Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc., incorporated on January 12, 2001, is engaged in designing, manufacturing and marketing of orthopedic reconstructive products; sports medicine, biologics, extremities and trauma products; office-based technologies; spine, craniomaxillofacial and thoracic products; dental implants, and related surgical products. The Company’s products and solutions help treat patients suffering from disorders of, or injuries to, bones, joints or supporting soft tissues. The Company manages its operations through three geographic operating segments: the Americas, consisting principally of the United States and other North, Central and South American markets; EMEA, consisting principally of Europe and the Middle East and African markets, and Asia Pacific, consisting primarily of Japan and other Asian and Pacific markets. The Company’s product category segments include Americas Spine, Office Based Technologies, Craniomaxillofacial and Thoracic (CMF), and Dental.
Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of ZBH – January 2019
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
| Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests. | ||||
| 1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $21,078,879,093 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 2 | 1.89 | Fail | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Fail | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | 46.03% | Pass | |
| 6. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 22.41 | Fail | |
| 7. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 1.74 | Pass | |
| Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
| 1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Current Ratio > 1.5 | 1.89 | Pass | |
| 2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition | Debt to NCA < 1.1 | 4.05 | Fail | |
| 3. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
| 4. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
| 5. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Pass | ||
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
| EPSmg | $4.61 |
| MG Growth Estimate | 1.45% |
| MG Value | $52.60 |
| Opinion | Overvalued |
| MG Grade | C |
| MG Value based on 3% Growth | $66.86 |
| MG Value based on 0% Growth | $39.20 |
| Market Implied Growth Rate | 6.96% |
| Current Price | $103.34 |
| % of Intrinsic Value | 196.46% |
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.2 in 2014 to an estimated $4.61 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 6.96% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $77.93. The company pays a dividend of $0.96 per share, for a yield of 0.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 22.41, which was below the industry average of 52.7, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-42.09.
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
| Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) | -$42.09 |
| Graham Number | $77.93 |
| PEmg | 22.41 |
| Current Ratio | 1.89 |
| PB Ratio | 1.74 |
| Current Dividend | $0.96 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.93% |
| Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 2 |
Useful Links:
| ModernGraham tagged articles | Morningstar |
| Google Finance | MSN Money |
| Yahoo Finance | Seeking Alpha |
| GuruFocus | SEC Filings |
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
| Balance Sheet Information | 9/1/2018 |
| Total Current Assets | $4,513,300,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | $2,391,200,000 |
| Long-Term Debt | $8,597,400,000 |
| Total Assets | $25,382,000,000 |
| Intangible Assets | $18,421,000,000 |
| Total Liabilities | $13,159,000,000 |
| Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 205,400,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
| EPS History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $4.66 |
| Dec2017 | $8.90 |
| Dec2016 | $1.51 |
| Dec2015 | $0.77 |
| Dec2014 | $4.20 |
| Dec2013 | $4.54 |
| Dec2012 | $4.29 |
| Dec2011 | $4.03 |
| Dec2010 | $2.97 |
| Dec2009 | $3.32 |
| Dec2008 | $3.72 |
| Dec2007 | $3.26 |
| Dec2006 | $3.40 |
| Dec2005 | $2.93 |
| Dec2004 | $2.19 |
| Dec2003 | $1.64 |
| Dec2002 | $1.31 |
| Dec2001 | $0.77 |
| Dec2000 | $0.91 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
| EPSmg History | |
| Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $4.61 |
| Dec2017 | $4.39 |
| Dec2016 | $2.44 |
| Dec2015 | $3.13 |
| Dec2014 | $4.20 |
| Dec2013 | $4.08 |
| Dec2012 | $3.79 |
| Dec2011 | $3.51 |
| Dec2010 | $3.28 |
| Dec2009 | $3.40 |
| Dec2008 | $3.33 |
| Dec2007 | $2.98 |
| Dec2006 | $2.66 |
| Dec2005 | $2.11 |
| Dec2004 | $1.59 |
| Dec2003 | $1.17 |
| Dec2002 | $0.82 |
Recommended Reading:
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
| Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc Valuation – March 2018 $ZBH | |
| Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc Valuation – June 2016 $ZBH | |
| Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc. Analysis – September 2015 Update $ZBH |
Other ModernGraham posts about related companies
Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.
