Bank of America Corp Valuation – January 2019 $BAC
Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Bank of America Corporation, incorporated on July 31, 1998, is a bank holding company (BHC) and a financial holding company. The Company is a financial institution, serving individual consumers, small- and middle-market businesses, institutional investors, corporations and governments with a range of banking, investing, asset management and other financial and risk management products and services. The Company, through its banking and various non-bank subsidiaries, throughout the United States and in international markets, provides a range of banking and non-bank financial services and products through its business segments: Consumer Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management (GWIM), Global Banking, Global Markets and All Other.
Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of BAC – January 2019
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests. | ||||
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise | Market Cap > $2Bil | $286,017,419,982 | Pass | |
2. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 10 years prior | Fail | ||
3. Dividend Record | Dividend Payments for 10 years prior | Pass | ||
4. Earnings Growth | Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end | -6372.73% | Fail | |
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio | PEmg < 20 | 13.42 | Pass | |
6. Moderate Price to Assets | PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 | 1.11 | Pass | |
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor. | ||||
1. Earnings Stability | Positive EPS for 5 years prior | Pass | ||
2. Dividend Record | Currently Pays Dividend | Pass | ||
3. Earnings Growth | EPSmg greater than 5 years ago | Pass |
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
EPSmg | $2.20 |
MG Growth Estimate | 15.00% |
MG Value | $84.85 |
Opinion | Undervalued |
MG Grade | B+ |
MG Value based on 3% Growth | $31.96 |
MG Value based on 0% Growth | $18.73 |
Market Implied Growth Rate | 2.46% |
Current Price | $29.58 |
% of Intrinsic Value | 34.86% |
Bank of America Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.76 in 2015 to an estimated $2.2 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.46% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into Bank of America Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $39.29. The company pays a dividend of $0.54 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 13.42, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.
Bank of America Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
Graham Number | $39.29 |
PEmg | 13.42 |
PB Ratio | 1.11 |
Dividend Yield | 1.83% |
TTM Dividend | $0.54 |
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth | 5 |
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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
Balance Sheet Information | 12/1/2018 |
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation | $229,340,000,000 |
Total Assets | $2,354,507,000,000 |
Intangible Assets | $68,951,000,000 |
Total Liabilities | $2,089,182,000,000 |
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) | 9,996,000,000 |
Earnings Per Share History
EPS History | |
Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $2.73 |
Dec2018 | $2.61 |
Dec2017 | $1.56 |
Dec2016 | $1.49 |
Dec2015 | $1.31 |
Dec2014 | $0.42 |
Dec2013 | $0.90 |
Dec2012 | $0.25 |
Dec2011 | $0.01 |
Dec2010 | -$0.37 |
Dec2009 | -$0.29 |
Dec2008 | $0.54 |
Dec2007 | $3.29 |
Dec2006 | $4.59 |
Dec2005 | $4.04 |
Dec2004 | $3.69 |
Dec2003 | $3.57 |
Dec2002 | $2.96 |
Dec2001 | $2.09 |
Dec2000 | $2.26 |
Dec1999 | $2.24 |
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
EPSmg History | |
Next Fiscal Year Estimate | $2.20 |
Dec2018 | $1.79 |
Dec2017 | $1.30 |
Dec2016 | $1.07 |
Dec2015 | $0.76 |
Dec2014 | $0.41 |
Dec2013 | $0.30 |
Dec2012 | $0.01 |
Dec2011 | $0.14 |
Dec2010 | $0.65 |
Dec2009 | $1.59 |
Dec2008 | $2.76 |
Dec2007 | $3.86 |
Dec2006 | $4.02 |
Dec2005 | $3.58 |
Dec2004 | $3.20 |
Dec2003 | $2.85 |
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Disclaimer:
The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.