Oil & Gas Stocks

Baker Hughes, a GE Co Valuation – February 2019 $BHGE

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Baker Hughes, a GE Company, incorporated on October 28, 2016, is an oil and gas company. The Company is a provider of integrated oilfield products, services and digital solutions. The Company’s products and services include upstream, midstream, downstream, industrial and digital. The Company’s upstream, which includes evaluation, drilling, completions and production. Midstream enables the power and compression efficiency for LNG and pipeline and storage. Downstream is build reliability and safety into process operations that includes refining and petrochemical and fertilizer solutions. In addition downstream offers process chemical, water treatment, turbo machinery, condition monitoring, process services and flow and process technologies.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of BHGE – February 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $25,573,144,062 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.66 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 346666566.67% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 398.55 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.78 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.66 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 1.06 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.06
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $2.39
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C
MG Value based on 3% Growth $0.90
MG Value based on 0% Growth $0.53
Market Implied Growth Rate 195.10%
Current Price $24.72
% of Intrinsic Value 1035.61%

Baker Hughes A GE Co is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0 in 2015 to an estimated $0.06 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 195.1% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Baker Hughes A GE Co revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $23.33. The company pays a dividend of $0.72 per share, for a yield of 2.9%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 398.71, which was above the industry average of 43.92. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-2.23.

Baker Hughes A GE Co receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$2.23
Graham Number $23.33
PEmg 398.71
Current Ratio 1.66
PB Ratio 0.78
Current Dividend $0.72
Dividend Yield 2.91%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 2

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $14,971,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $9,020,000,000
Long-Term Debt $6,285,000,000
Total Assets $52,439,000,000
Intangible Assets $26,436,000,000
Total Liabilities $17,426,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 1,099,932,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.76
Dec2018 $0.45
Dec2017 -$0.17
Dec2016 -$2.08

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.06
Dec2018 -$0.31
Dec2017 -$0.61
Dec2016 -$0.69

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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