Whirlpool Corp Valuation – February 2019 $WHR

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Whirlpool Corporation, incorporated on August 10, 1955, is a manufacturer and marketer of home appliances. As of December 31, 2016, the Company manufactured products in 14 countries and markets products throughout the world under brand names, such as Whirlpool, KitchenAid, Maytag, Consul, Brastemp, Amana, Bauknecht, Jenn-Air and Indesit. The Company’s segments include North America; Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA); Latin America, and Asia. The Company manufactures and markets a line of home appliances and related products. Its principal products are laundry appliances, refrigerators and freezers, cooking appliances, dishwashers, mixers and other small domestic appliances. It also produces hermetic compressors for refrigeration systems.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of WHR – February 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $9,071,438,805 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 0.82 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -9.60% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 19.89 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.86 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 0.82 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -2.27 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Fail

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $7.17
MG Growth Estimate -2.36%
MG Value $27.16
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $104.01
MG Value based on 0% Growth $60.97
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.70%
Current Price $142.70
% of Intrinsic Value 525.45%

Whirlpool Corporation does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets, and the lack of earnings stability or growth over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after seeing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) decline from $8.51 in 2015 to an estimated $7.17 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 5.7% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Whirlpool Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $107.36. The company pays a dividend of $4.55 per share, for a yield of 3.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.89, which was below the industry average of 24.63, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-112.83.

Whirlpool Corporation scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$112.83
Graham Number $107.36
PEmg 19.89
Current Ratio 0.82
PB Ratio 2.86
Current Dividend $4.55
Dividend Yield 3.19%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 8

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $7,898,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $9,678,000,000
Long-Term Debt $4,046,000,000
Total Assets $18,347,000,000
Intangible Assets $4,747,000,000
Total Liabilities $15,142,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 64,200,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $14.31
Dec2018 -$2.72
Dec2017 $4.70
Dec2016 $11.50
Dec2015 $9.83
Dec2014 $8.17
Dec2013 $10.24
Dec2012 $5.06
Dec2011 $4.99
Dec2010 $7.97
Dec2009 $4.34
Dec2008 $5.50
Dec2007 $8.01
Dec2006 $5.67
Dec2005 $6.19
Dec2004 $5.90
Dec2003 $5.91
Dec2002 -$5.79
Dec2001 $0.31
Dec2000 $5.20
Dec1999 $4.56

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $7.17
Dec2018 $4.50
Dec2017 $8.37
Dec2016 $9.79
Dec2015 $8.51
Dec2014 $7.66
Dec2013 $7.11
Dec2012 $5.56
Dec2011 $5.92
Dec2010 $6.36
Dec2009 $5.68
Dec2008 $6.32
Dec2007 $6.60
Dec2006 $5.12
Dec2005 $4.07
Dec2004 $2.77
Dec2003 $1.49

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Whirlpool Corporation Valuation – April 2018 $WHR
5 Undervalued Stocks for Value Investors with a High Beta – February 2017
10 Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – February 2017
5 Undervalued Stocks for Value Investors with a High Beta – January 2017
10 Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Investor – January 2017

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Whirlpool Corporation Valuation – December 2016 $WHR
Whirlpool Corporation Analysis – 2015 Update $WHR
Whirlpool Corporation Annual Valuation – 2014 $WHR
Whirlpool Corp (WHR) Quarterly Valuation – May 2014

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.


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