Household Goods Stocks

Clorox Co Valuation – March 2019 $CLX

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): The Clorox Company, incorporated on September 5, 1986, is a manufacturer and marketer of consumer and professional products. The Company sells its products primarily through mass retail outlets, e-commerce channels, wholesale distributors and medical supply distributors. The Company operates through four segments: Cleaning, Household, Lifestyle and International. The Company markets some of the consumer brand names, including namesake bleach and cleaning products, Pine-Sol cleaners, Liquid-Plumr clog removers, Poett home care products, Fresh Step cat litter, Glad bags, wraps and containers, Kingsford charcoal, Hidden Valley dressings and sauces, Brita water-filtration products and Burt’s Bees natural personal care products. The Company also markets brands for professional services, including Clorox Healthcare and Clorox Commercial Solutions. The Company manufactures products in approximately 10 countries and markets them in over 100 countries.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CLX – March 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

 

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $20,224,279,591 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.15 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 44.05% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 27.45 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 27.67 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.15 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 12.77 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $5.75
MG Growth Estimate 5.25%
MG Value $109.28
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade C-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $83.37
MG Value based on 0% Growth $48.87
Market Implied Growth Rate 9.47%
Current Price $157.80
% of Intrinsic Value 144.40%

Clorox Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.26 in 2015 to an estimated $5.75 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 9.47% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Clorox Co revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $28.13. The company pays a dividend of $3.48 per share, for a yield of 2.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 27.45, which was above the industry average of 26.43. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-22.8.

Clorox Co receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$22.80
Graham Number $28.13
PEmg 27.45
Current Ratio 1.15
PB Ratio 27.67
Current Dividend $3.48
Dividend Yield 2.21%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

Useful Links:

 

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $1,365,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,186,000,000
Long-Term Debt $2,285,000,000
Total Assets $5,073,000,000
Intangible Assets $2,505,000,000
Total Liabilities $4,331,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 130,094,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $6.20
Jun2018 $6.26
Jun2017 $5.33
Jun2016 $4.92
Jun2015 $4.37
Jun2014 $4.23
Jun2013 $4.30
Jun2012 $4.09
Jun2011 $4.02
Jun2010 $4.24
Jun2009 $3.79
Jun2008 $3.24
Jun2007 $3.26
Jun2006 $2.90
Jun2005 $6.11
Jun2004 $2.56
Jun2003 $2.23
Jun2002 $1.37
Jun2001 $1.35
Jun2000 $1.64
Jun1999 $0.52

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.75
Jun2018 $5.36
Jun2017 $4.81
Jun2016 $4.50
Jun2015 $4.26
Jun2014 $4.19
Jun2013 $4.15
Jun2012 $4.00
Jun2011 $3.88
Jun2010 $3.70
Jun2009 $3.57
Jun2008 $3.51
Jun2007 $3.57
Jun2006 $3.50
Jun2005 $3.44
Jun2004 $2.01
Jun2003 $1.63

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Clorox Co Valuation – May 2018 $CLX
Clorox Company Valuation – January 2017 $CLX
Clorox Company Analysis – September 2015 Update $CLX
23 Companies to Research This Week – 9/13/14
Clorox Company Annual Stock Valuation – 2014 $CLX

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Kimberly-Clark Corp Valuation – January 2019 $KMB
Newell Brands Inc Valuation – January 2019 $NWL
Sleep Number Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SNBR
National Presto Industries Inc Valuation – June 2018 $NPK
Leggett & Platt Inc Valuation – June 2018 $LEG
Clorox Co Valuation – May 2018 $CLX
Newell Brands Inc Valuation – March 2018 $NWL
La-Z-Boy Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $LZB
Tupperware Brands Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $TUP
Leggett & Platt Inc Valuation – March 2017 $LEG

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Back To Top