ResMed Inc Valuation – March 2019 #RMD
Company ProfileÂ (excerpt from Reuters): ResMed Inc., incorporated on March 31, 1994, is a holding company. The Company is engaged in the development, manufacturing, distribution and marketing of medical devices and cloud-based software applications that diagnose, treat and manage respiratory disorders, including sleep disordered breathing (SDB), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), neuromuscular disease and other diseases. SDB includes obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and other respiratory disorders that occur during sleep. The Company’s cloud-based software digital health applications, along with its devices, are designed to provide connected care to improve patient outcomes. The Company offers a treatment, nasal Continuous Positive Airway Pressure (CPAP), for OSA. CPAP systems deliver pressurized air, typically through a nasal mask, to prevent collapse of the upper airway during sleep. Its manufacturing operations are located in Australia, Singapore, Malaysia, France and the United States.
Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:
ModernGraham Valuation of RMD – March 2019
Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?
What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?
|Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.|
|1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise||Market Cap > $2Bil||$14,454,671,393||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 2||2.44||Pass|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 10 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Dividend Payments for 10 years prior||Fail|
|5. Earnings Growth||Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end||74.20%||Pass|
|6. Moderate PEmg Ratio||PEmg < 20||39.26||Fail|
|7. Moderate Price to Assets||PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50||7.46||Fail|
|Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.|
|1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Current Ratio > 1.5||2.44||Pass|
|2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition||Debt to NCA < 1.1||1.89||Fail|
|3. Earnings Stability||Positive EPS for 5 years prior||Pass|
|4. Dividend Record||Currently Pays Dividend||Pass|
|5. Earnings Growth||EPSmg greater than 5 years ago||Pass|
Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value
|MG Growth Estimate||2.51%|
|MG Value based on 3% Growth||$37.32|
|MG Value based on 0% Growth||$21.88|
|Market Implied Growth Rate||15.38%|
|% of Intrinsic Value||290.28%|
ResMed Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.
As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.2 in 2015 to an estimated $2.57 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 15.38% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.
At the time of valuation, further research into ResMed Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $31.42. The company pays a dividend of $1.4 per share, for a yield of 1.4% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 39.26, which was below the industry average of 53.13, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-5.82.
ResMed Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C.
Stage 3: Information for Further Research
|Net Current Asset Value (NCAV)||-$5.82|
|Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth||6|
|ModernGraham tagged articles||Morningstar|
|Google Finance||MSN Money|
|Yahoo Finance||Seeking Alpha|
Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures
|Balance Sheet Information||12/1/2018|
|Total Current Assets||$1,063,539,000|
|Total Current Liabilities||$436,443,000|
|Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)||144,349,000|
Earnings Per Share History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$3.04|
Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History
|Next Fiscal Year Estimate||$2.57|
Other ModernGraham posts about the company
None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.
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The author did not hold aÂ position in any company mentioned in this articleÂ at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. Â See my current holdings here. Â This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to aÂ registeredÂ investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions. Â ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner. Â Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.