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5 Undervalued Midcap Stocks For Value Investors – March 2019

There are a number of great companies in the market today. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I’ve screened the 800+ companies reviewed by ModernGraham to select five midcap undervalued companies for value investors.

 

Each company has been determined to be suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor according to the ModernGraham approach. Defensive Investors are defined as investors who need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk.

Alliance Data Systems Corporation (ADS)

Alliance Data Systems Corporation qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $7.77 in 2015 to an estimated $15.71 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.19% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Alliance Data Systems Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $138.66. The company pays a dividend of $2.28 per share, for a yield of 1.3% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.89, which was below the industry average of 32.74, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-61.7.

Alliance Data Systems Corporation performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Unum Group (UNM)

Unum Group qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.71 in 2015 to an estimated $4.02 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.17% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Unum Group revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $68.83. The company pays a dividend of $0.98 per share, for a yield of 2.8%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 8.85, which was below the industry average of 32.96, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Unum Group fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

PVH Corp (PVH)

PVH Corp qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.95 in 2015 to an estimated $7.54 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.47% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into PVH Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $122.25. The company pays a dividend of $0.15 per share, for a yield of 0.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 15.44, which was below the industry average of 44.2, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-36.86.

PVH Corp fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.  (See the full valuation)

Packaging Corp Of America (PKG)

Packaging Corp Of America qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.21 in 2014 to an estimated $6.28 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Packaging Corp Of America revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $63.49. The company pays a dividend of $2.52 per share, for a yield of 2.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.93, which was below the industry average of 15.32, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.74.

Packaging Corp Of America performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Zions Bancorporation NA (ZION)

Zions Bancorp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.12 in 2014 to an estimated $2.67 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.39% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Zions Bancorp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $56.43. The company pays a dividend of $0.44 per share, for a yield of 1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 17.29, which was above the industry average of 14.65.

Zions Bancorp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

What do you think?  Are these companies a good value for Enterprising Investors?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer: 

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice and all readers are encouraged to speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investing decisions.  Please also read our full disclaimer.

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