Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co Valuation – March 2019 #HPE

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company, incorporated on February 25, 2015, is a provider of technology solutions. The Company’s segments include: Enterprise Group, Software, Financial Services and Corporate Investments. The Enterprise Group segment provides its customers with the technology infrastructure they need to optimize traditional information technology (IT). The Software segment allows its customers to automate IT operations to simplify, accelerate and secure business processes and drives the analytics that turn raw data into actionable knowledge. The Financial Services segment enables flexible IT consumption models, financial architectures and customized investment solutions for its customers. The Corporate Investments segment includes Hewlett Packard Labs and certain business incubation projects, among others. The Company’s customers range from small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) to large global enterprises.


Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of HPE – March 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $21,727,342,562 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 0.94 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -137.37% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 12.98 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.22 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 0.94 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -10.01 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass


Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.22
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $47.05
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $17.72
MG Value based on 0% Growth $10.39
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.24%
Current Price $15.86
% of Intrinsic Value 33.71%

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-0.2 in 2015 to an estimated $1.22 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.24% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $22.89. The company pays a dividend of $0.38 per share, for a yield of 2.4%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 12.98, which was below the industry average of 35.5, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-12.74.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$12.74
Graham Number $22.89
PEmg 12.98
Current Ratio 0.94
PB Ratio 1.22
Current Dividend $0.38
Dividend Yield 2.36%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 3

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 1/1/2019
Total Current Assets $15,432,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $16,459,000,000
Long-Term Debt $10,280,000,000
Total Assets $51,758,000,000
Intangible Assets $18,334,000,000
Total Liabilities $33,423,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 1,412,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.56
Oct2018 $1.23
Oct2017 $0.21
Oct2016 $1.82
Oct2015 $1.34
Oct2014 $0.75
Oct2013 $1.12
Oct2012 -$8.03

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.22
Oct2018 $1.06
Oct2017 $1.00
Oct2016 $0.73
Oct2015 -$0.20
Oct2014 -$1.06
Oct2013 -$1.77
Oct2012 -$2.68

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co Valuation – June 2018 $HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co Valuation – Initial Valuation $HPE

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The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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