Linde PLC Valuation – April 2019 #LIN

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Linde plc, incorporated on April 18, 2017, is an industrial gases and engineering company that operates through its subsidiaries. The Company provides atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon and rare gases) and process gases (carbon dioxide, helium, hydrogen, electronic gases, specialty gases and acetylene). It designs, engineers and builds equipment that produces industrial gases primarily for internal use. It also offers gaseous medication and related medical products and devices for patients and medical staff. The Company serves the customers in various industries, including healthcare, petroleum refining, manufacturing, food, beverage carbonation, fiber-optics, steel making, aerospace, chemicals and water treatment.


Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of LIN – April 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?


Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $100,601,281,539 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 0.86 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 26.09% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 32.37 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 7.99 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 0.86 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -11.92 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass


Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $5.70
MG Growth Estimate 0.33%
MG Value $52.23
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $82.69
MG Value based on 0% Growth $48.47
Market Implied Growth Rate 11.94%
Current Price $184.62
% of Intrinsic Value 353.45%

Linde PLC does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $5.58 in 2014 to an estimated $5.7 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 11.94% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Linde PLC revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $58.47. The company pays a dividend of $3.15 per share, for a yield of 1.7% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 32.37, which was above the industry average of 23.27. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-34.09.

Linde PLC scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$34.09
Graham Number $58.47
PEmg 32.37
Current Ratio 0.86
PB Ratio 7.99
Current Dividend $3.15
Dividend Yield 1.71%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Total Current Assets $3,305,000,000
Total Current Liabilities $3,860,000,000
Long-Term Debt $6,615,000,000
Total Assets $19,979,000,000
Intangible Assets $3,714,000,000
Total Liabilities $13,244,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 291,513,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $7.24
Dec2017 $4.32
Dec2016 $5.21
Dec2015 $5.35
Dec2014 $5.73
Dec2013 $5.87
Dec2012 $5.61
Dec2011 $5.45
Dec2010 $3.84
Dec2009 $4.01
Dec2008 $3.80
Dec2007 $3.62
Dec2006 $3.00
Dec2005 $2.20
Dec2004 $2.10
Dec2003 $1.77
Dec2002 $1.24
Dec2001 $1.31
Dec2000 $1.13
Dec1999 $1.33
Dec1998 $1.30

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.70
Dec2017 $5.05
Dec2016 $5.47
Dec2015 $5.60
Dec2014 $5.58
Dec2013 $5.32
Dec2012 $4.88
Dec2011 $4.39
Dec2010 $3.79
Dec2009 $3.62
Dec2008 $3.27
Dec2007 $2.84
Dec2006 $2.33
Dec2005 $1.90
Dec2004 $1.67
Dec2003 $1.42
Dec2002 $1.25

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None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

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The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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