People’s United Financial (PBCT) Quarterly Valuation

PeoplesUnitedBank

In the wake of the great financial crisis it can sometimes be difficult for Intelligent Investors to find a solid bank in which to invest, because they require specific achievements over the historical period.  Many investors may simply decide to throw out the worst years with the rationale that they are outliers that shouldn’t be considered when evaluating the company’s prospects, but doing so would involve speculation.  We don’t know whether the financial crisis will happen again, but we do know that if it does, we can expect to see similar results as we did before.  By continuing to require the same standards for the historical period, Intelligent Investors are able to widdle down banks to only those with the best financial position, and then they are able to determine an intrinsic value to get a sense of whether the company is a good investment.  In addition, a company must have strong financial statements to prove that it is stable enough for Intelligent Investors.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a specific look at how People’s United Financial fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): People’s United Financial, Inc. (People’s United Financial) is a savings and loan holding company. The principal business of People’s United Financial is to provide, through People’s United Bank and its subsidiaries, commercial banking, retail and business banking, and wealth management services to individual, corporate and municipal customers. Traditional banking activities are conducted primarily within New England and southeastern New York, and include extending secured and unsecured commercial and consumer loans, originating mortgage loans secured by residential and commercial properties, and accepting consumer, commercial and municipal deposits. In addition to traditional banking activities, People’s United Bank provides specialized financial services tailored to specific markets including: personal, institutional and employee benefit trust; cash management; and municipal banking and finance.

PBCT Chart

PBCT data by YCharts

Defensive Investor – must pass all 6 of the following tests: Score = 4/6

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
  2. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – FAIL
  3. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  4. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – PASS
  5. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – FAIL
  6. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – PASS

Enterprising Investor – must pass all 3 of the following tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 3/3

  1. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  2. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – PASS
  3. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

MG Value $14.84
MG Opinion Fairly Valued
Value Based on 3% Growth $8.82
Value Based on 0% Growth $5.17
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.15%
PEmg 22.80
PB Ratio 0.94

Balance Sheet – 9/30/2013

Total Debt $3,016,900,000
Total Assets $31,510,600,000
Intangible Assets $1,954,500,000
Total Liabilities $26,873,000,000
Outstanding Shares 315,800,000

Earnings Per Share

2013 $0.75
2012 $0.72
2011 $0.57
2010 $0.24
2009 $0.30
2008 $0.42
2007 $0.52
2006 $0.40
2005 $0.42
2004 -$0.02
2003 $0.22

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham 

2013 $0.61
2012 $0.51
2011 $0.40
2010 $0.34
2009 $0.40
2008 $0.41

Dividend History

PBCT Dividend Chart

PBCT Dividend data by YCharts

Conclusion:

People’s United Financial is an excellent company for Enterprising Investors to keep on their watch list.  Defensive Investors are not as interested, due to the high PEmg ratio and the lack of earnings stability over the ten year historical period.  Enterprising Investors should feel very comfortable with the company, and should go ahead with further research into whether it would be suitable for their individual portfolios.  This research could include a review of other banks such as by reviewing ModernGraham’s valuation of JP Morgan (JPM) and ModernGraham’s valuation of Wells Fargo (WFC).  From a valuation standpoint, People’s United has grown its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.40 in 2009 to $0.61 for 2013.  This level of growth supports the market’s implied growth estimate of 7.15%, and the ModernGraham valuation model returns an intrinsic value that is within our safety margin of the market’s current price, so the company would appear to be fairly valued.  It should also be noted that this company has a strong dividend yield, which may be attractive to Enterprising Investors.

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on People’s United Financial (PBCT)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

If you like our valuations, why not check out ModernGraham Stocks & Screens?  It’s a great way to review the valuations while screening for things like low PE ratio, undervalued companies, etc.!

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in People’s United Financial (PBCT) or any of the other companies listed in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.

Logo taken from the Wikipedia; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

Citizens Financial Group Inc Valuation – February 2019 $CFG

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Citizens Financial Group, Inc., incorporated on November 21, 1984, is a retail bank holding company. The Company operates through two segments: Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking. The Company delivers a range of retail and commercial banking products and services to individuals, institutions and companies. As of December 31, 2016, the Company operated approximately 1,200 branches operating in an 11-state banking footprint across the New England, Mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions and through its online, telephone and mobile banking platforms. As of December 31, 2016, it also maintained more than 100 retail and commercial non-branch offices located in its branch banking footprint and in other states and the District of Columbia. The Company’s primary subsidiaries include Citizens Bank, N.A. (CBNA), a national banking association and Citizens Bank of Pennsylvania (CBPA), a Pennsylvania-chartered savings bank.

CFG Chart

CFG data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of CFG – February 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $17,102,493,955 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 412.66% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.44 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.83 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $3.21
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $123.51
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $46.52
MG Value based on 0% Growth $27.27
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.47%
Current Price $36.70
% of Intrinsic Value 29.71%

Citizens Financial Group Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-0.08 in 2015 to an estimated $3.21 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.47% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Citizens Financial Group Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $60.22. The company pays a dividend of $0.98 per share, for a yield of 2.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.44, which was below the industry average of 16.24, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Citizens Financial Group Inc fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $60.22
PEmg 11.44
PB Ratio 0.83
Dividend Yield 2.67%
TTM Dividend $0.98
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $14,433,000,000
Total Assets $160,518,000,000
Intangible Assets $6,923,000,000
Total Liabilities $139,701,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 469,103,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.76
Dec2018 $3.52
Dec2017 $3.25
Dec2016 $1.97
Dec2015 $1.55
Dec2014 $1.55
Dec2013 -$6.12
Dec2012 $1.15
Dec2011 $0.90

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.21
Dec2018 $2.74
Dec2017 $1.72
Dec2016 $0.64
Dec2015 -$0.08
Dec2014 -$0.76
Dec2013 -$1.55
Dec2012 $0.62
Dec2011 $0.30

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

10 Undervalued Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – January 2019
Most Undervalued Stocks of the S&P 500 – August 2018
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – August 2018
10 Undervalued Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – July 2018
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – June 2018

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

M&T Bank Corp Valuation – February 2019 $MTB
Bank of America Corp Valuation – January 2019 $BAC
Fifth Third Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $FITB
Zions Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $ZION
Regions Financial Corp Valuation – January 2019 $RF
Huntington Bancshares Inc Valuation – January 2019 $HBAN
PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY
Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

BB&T Corp Valuation – February 2019 $BBT

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): BB&T Corporation, incorporated on September 24, 1968, is a financial holding company. The Company conducts its business operations primarily through its bank subsidiary, Branch Banking and Trust Company (Branch Bank), and other nonbank subsidiaries. Its segments include Community Banking, Residential Mortgage Banking, Dealer Financial Services, Specialized Lending, Insurance Holdings and Financial Services. Branch Bank provided a range of banking and trust services for retail and commercial clients in its geographic markets, including small and mid-size businesses, public agencies, local governments and individuals, through 2,196 offices, as of December 31, 2016. Its subsidiaries offer a variety of services targeted to retail and commercial clients. Its insurance operations primarily consist of a wholesale/agency network. Its retail services include asset management, automobile lending, bankcard lending, consumer finance, home equity lending, home mortgage lending, insurance, investment brokerage services, payment solutions and sales finance, among others. Its commercial services include asset management, association services, capital market services, commercial deposit services, commercial finance, corporate banking, floor plan lending, insurance, merchant services, real estate lending and payment solutions, among others.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of BBT – February 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $38,717,309,082 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 88.22% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 14.55 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.30 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $3.48
MG Growth Estimate 5.92%
MG Value $70.83
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A
MG Value based on 3% Growth $50.52
MG Value based on 0% Growth $29.61
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.03%
Current Price $50.70
% of Intrinsic Value 71.58%

BB&T Corporation qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.5 in 2015 to an estimated $3.48 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.03% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into BB&T Corporation revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $56.92. The company pays a dividend of $1.56 per share, for a yield of 3.1%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.55, which was below the industry average of 16.24, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

BB&T Corporation fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $56.92
PEmg 14.55
PB Ratio 1.30
Dividend Yield 3.08%
TTM Dividend $1.56
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 8

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $23,709,000,000
Total Assets $225,697,000,000
Intangible Assets $11,684,000,000
Total Liabilities $195,519,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 775,402,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.06
Dec2018 $3.91
Dec2017 $2.74
Dec2016 $2.77
Dec2015 $2.56
Dec2014 $2.72
Dec2013 $2.19
Dec2012 $2.70
Dec2011 $1.83
Dec2010 $1.16
Dec2009 $1.15
Dec2008 $2.71
Dec2007 $3.14
Dec2006 $2.81
Dec2005 $3.00
Dec2004 $2.80
Dec2003 $2.07
Dec2002 $2.72
Dec2001 $2.12
Dec2000 $1.53
Dec1999 $1.71

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.48
Dec2018 $3.11
Dec2017 $2.67
Dec2016 $2.62
Dec2015 $2.50
Dec2014 $2.35
Dec2013 $2.05
Dec2012 $1.95
Dec2011 $1.72
Dec2010 $1.84
Dec2009 $2.31
Dec2008 $2.89
Dec2007 $2.91
Dec2006 $2.75
Dec2005 $2.66
Dec2004 $2.41
Dec2003 $2.16

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

BB&T Corporation Valuation – April 2018 $BBT
BB&T Corporation Valuation – November 2016 $BBT
Best Stocks to Invest In: the Bank Industry – August 2016
10 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 5/21/16
BB&T Corporation Valuation – May 2016 $BBT

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

M&T Bank Corp Valuation – February 2019 $MTB
Bank of America Corp Valuation – January 2019 $BAC
Fifth Third Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $FITB
Zions Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $ZION
Regions Financial Corp Valuation – January 2019 $RF
Huntington Bancshares Inc Valuation – January 2019 $HBAN
PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY
Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

10 Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Dividend Stock Investor – February 2019

defensive dividend investorThere are a number of great companies in the market today. I’ve selected the highest dividend yields among the undervalued companies for defensive dividend stock investors reviewed by ModernGraham. Each company has been determined to be suitable for the Defensive Investor according to the ModernGraham approach.

Defensive Investors are defined as investors who need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk. Each company suitable for the Defensive Investor is also suitable for Enterprising Investors.

The companies selected for this list may not pay what some consider to be a huge dividend, but they have demonstrated strong financial positions through passing the rigorous requirements of the Defensive Investor and show potential for capital growth based on their current price in relation to intrinsic value.  As such, these defensive dividend stocks may be a great investment if they prove to be suitable for your portfolio after your own additional research.

B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS)

B&G Foods, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position. . The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.94 in 2014 to an estimated $2.09 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.92% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into B&G Foods, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $24.23. The company pays a dividend of $1.86 per share, for a yield of 6.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.34, which was below the industry average of 25.4, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-26.95.

B&G Foods, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

AT&T Inc. (T)

AT&T Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.89 in 2014 to an estimated $3.06 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.53% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into AT&T Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $38.89. The company pays a dividend of $1.97 per share, for a yield of 6.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 9.56, which was below the industry average of 25.67, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-40.55.

AT&T Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Invesco Ltd. (IVZ)

Invesco Ltd. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.89 in 2014 to an estimated $2.39 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.65% annual earnings loss over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Invesco Ltd. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $33.89. The company pays a dividend of $1.15 per share, for a yield of 6.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 7.21, which was below the industry average of 18, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Invesco Ltd. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. (SKT)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.76 in 2014 to an estimated $1.25 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $11.47. The company pays a dividend of $1.35 per share, for a yield of 5.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.86, which was below the industry average of 49.54, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-17.97.

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

People’s United Financial, Inc. (PBCT)

People’s United Financial, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.71 in 2014 to an estimated $1.04 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.89% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into People’s United Financial, Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.65. The company pays a dividend of $0.69 per share, for a yield of 4.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.28, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

People’s United Financial, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A+.  (See the full valuation)

H & R Block Inc (HRB)

H & R Block Inc qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.55 in 2015 to an estimated $2.05 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.95% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into H & R Block Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $8.61. The company pays a dividend of $0.96 per share, for a yield of 3.8%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 12.39, which was below the industry average of 18, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-6.68.

H & R Block Inc performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

International Paper Co (IP)

International Paper Co qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.13 in 2014 to an estimated $3.71 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.9% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into International Paper Co revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $40.25. The company pays a dividend of $1.86 per share, for a yield of 3.5%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.3, which was below the industry average of 22.87, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-46.64.

International Paper Co performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Infosys Ltd ADR (INFY)

Infosys Ltd ADR qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.79 in 2015 to an estimated $0.99 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 5.56% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Infosys Ltd ADR revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $10.1. The company pays a dividend of $0.43 per share, for a yield of 2.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.63, which was below the industry average of 44.18, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $2.47.

Infosys Ltd ADR performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Principal Financial Group Inc (PFG)

Principal Financial Group Inc qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.9 in 2014 to an estimated $5.72 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 0.29% annual earnings loss over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Principal Financial Group Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $76.24. The company pays a dividend of $1.87 per share, for a yield of 4.1%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 7.92, which was below the industry average of 30.63, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Principal Financial Group Inc fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Pentair PLC (PNR)

Pentair plc. Ordinary Share qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the net current assets, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.01 in 2014 to an estimated $2.31 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.31% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Pentair plc. Ordinary Share revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $37.69. The company pays a dividend of $1.38 per share, for a yield of 3.1%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.12, which was below the industry average of 28.31, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-10.63.

Pentair plc. Ordinary Share performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

What do you think?  Are these companies a good value for Defensive Investors?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:

The author held a long position in Invesco Ltd (IVZ) and People’s United Financial Inc (PBCT) but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

M&T Bank Corp Valuation – February 2019 $MTB

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): M&T Bank Corporation (M&T), incorporated on November 6, 1969, is a bank holding company. As of December 31, 2016, M&T had two bank subsidiaries: Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company (M&T Bank) and Wilmington Trust, National Association (Wilmington Trust, N.A.). The Company, along with its subsidiaries, offers a range of retail and commercial banking, trust and wealth management, and investment services. The Company’s segments are Business Banking, Commercial Banking, Commercial Real Estate, Discretionary Portfolio, Residential Mortgage Banking and Retail Banking.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of MTB – February 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $23,018,662,800 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 79.83% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 14.59 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.54 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $11.24
MG Growth Estimate 7.66%
MG Value $267.86
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A
MG Value based on 3% Growth $163.01
MG Value based on 0% Growth $95.56
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.04%
Current Price $164.00
% of Intrinsic Value 61.23%

M&T Bank Corporation qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $7.44 in 2015 to an estimated $11.24 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.04% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into M&T Bank Corporation revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $178.26. The company pays a dividend of $3.55 per share, for a yield of 2.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.59, which was below the industry average of 16.24, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

M&T Bank Corporation fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $178.26
PEmg 14.59
PB Ratio 1.54
Dividend Yield 2.16%
TTM Dividend $3.55
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 2

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $8,444,914,000
Total Assets $120,097,403,000
Intangible Assets $4,640,179,000
Total Liabilities $104,637,212,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 145,271,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $13.75
Dec2018 $12.76
Dec2017 $8.70
Dec2016 $7.78
Dec2015 $7.18
Dec2014 $7.42
Dec2013 $8.20
Dec2012 $7.54
Dec2011 $6.35
Dec2010 $5.69
Dec2009 $2.89
Dec2008 $5.01
Dec2007 $5.95
Dec2006 $7.37
Dec2005 $6.73
Dec2004 $6.00
Dec2003 $4.95
Dec2002 $4.78
Dec2001 $3.82
Dec2000 $3.44
Dec1999 $3.28

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $11.24
Dec2018 $9.58
Dec2017 $7.95
Dec2016 $7.59
Dec2015 $7.44
Dec2014 $7.39
Dec2013 $6.97
Dec2012 $6.06
Dec2011 $5.28
Dec2010 $4.95
Dec2009 $4.92
Dec2008 $6.03
Dec2007 $6.42
Dec2006 $6.43
Dec2005 $5.73
Dec2004 $5.01
Dec2003 $4.37

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

M&T Bank Corp Valuation – April 2018 $MTB
Best Stocks to Invest In: the Bank Industry – August 2016
9 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 7/23/16
M&T Bank Corp Valuation – July 2016 $MTB
5 Undervalued Companies for Enterprising Investors Near 52 Week Lows – February 2016

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Bank of America Corp Valuation – January 2019 $BAC
Fifth Third Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $FITB
Zions Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $ZION
Regions Financial Corp Valuation – January 2019 $RF
Huntington Bancshares Inc Valuation – January 2019 $HBAN
PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY
Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – February 2019

Dividend Growth Stocks

Dividend growth investing is a very popular approach which can fit within the ModernGraham methods.  This article will look at companies reviewed by ModernGraham which have grown their dividends annually for at least the last 20 years.  Out of over 800 companies covered by ModernGraham, only 70 have grown dividends annually for at least the last 20 years.

Defensive Investors are defined as investors who need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk.

The Elite

The following companies have been rated as undervalued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

AFLAC Incorporated (AFL)

AFLAC Incorporated qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.03 in 2014 to an estimated $4.11 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into AFLAC Incorporated revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $53.04. The company pays a dividend of $0.87 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.93, which was below the industry average of 30.63, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

AFLAC Incorporated fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A+.  (See the full valuation)

A. O. Smith Corp (AOS)

A. O. Smith Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.05 in 2014 to an estimated $1.95 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.55% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into A. O. Smith Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $23.34. The company pays a dividend of $0.56 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.59, which was below the industry average of 23.62, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $1.92.

A. O. Smith Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.69 in 2014 to an estimated $4.82 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.78% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cincinnati Financial Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $76.19. The company pays a dividend of $2 per share, for a yield of 2.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 16.06, which was below the industry average of 32.22, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Carlisle Companies, Inc. (CSL)

Carlisle Companies, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.51 in 2014 to an estimated $6.51 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.54% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Carlisle Companies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $95.82. The company pays a dividend of $1.44 per share, for a yield of 1.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.59, which was above the industry average of 18.51. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-9.61.

Carlisle Companies, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Leggett & Platt, Inc. (LEG)

Leggett & Platt, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.14 in 2014 to an estimated $2.35 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.06% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Leggett & Platt, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $23.11. The company pays a dividend of $1.42 per share, for a yield of 3.3%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.62, which was above the industry average of 17.71. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-5.

Leggett & Platt, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.1 in 2015 to an estimated $4.11 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.7% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Lowe’s Companies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $29. The company pays a dividend of $1.58 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.9, which was below the industry average of 25.61, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.93.

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.  (See the full valuation)

People’s United Financial, Inc. (PBCT)

People’s United Financial, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.71 in 2014 to an estimated $1.04 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.89% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into People’s United Financial, Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.65. The company pays a dividend of $0.69 per share, for a yield of 4.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.28, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

People’s United Financial, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A+.  (See the full valuation)

SEI Investments Company (SEIC)

SEI Investments Company is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.52 in 2014 to an estimated $2.47 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.97% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into SEI Investments Company revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $25.4. The company pays a dividend of $0.58 per share, for a yield of 1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.43, which was above the industry average of 21.47. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $5.12.

SEI Investments Company performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. (SKT)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.76 in 2014 to an estimated $1.25 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $11.47. The company pays a dividend of $1.35 per share, for a yield of 5.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.86, which was below the industry average of 49.54, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-17.97.

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK)

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.09 in 2014 to an estimated $7.32 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.97% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $95.94. The company pays a dividend of $2.42 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.45, which was below the industry average of 28.31, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-40.05.

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.  (See the full valuation)

T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW)

T. Rowe Price Group Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.79 in 2014 to an estimated $5.76 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.15% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into T. Rowe Price Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $60.69. The company pays a dividend of $2.28 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.79, which was below the industry average of 22.96, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $3.21.

T. Rowe Price Group Inc performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

The Good

The following companies have been rated as fairly valued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD)

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $5.23 in 2015 to an estimated $8 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 5.63% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $94.7. The company pays a dividend of $4.25 per share, for a yield of 2.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.76, which was below the industry average of 20.47, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-13.21.

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.  (See the full valuation)

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (CFR)

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.92 in 2014 to an estimated $5.42 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.25% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $84.91. The company pays a dividend of $2.25 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.01, which was above the industry average of 20.05.

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Cintas Corporation (CTAS)

Cintas Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.94 in 2015 to an estimated $6.44 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 10.34% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cintas Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $68.91. The company pays a dividend of $1.62 per share, for a yield of 0.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 29.17, which was below the industry average of 29.23, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.68.

Cintas Corporation performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)

Expeditors International of Washington is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.75 in 2014 to an estimated $2.73 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 8.27% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Expeditors International of Washington revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $28.87. The company pays a dividend of $0.84 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 25.05, which was above the industry average of 17.22. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $7.73.

Expeditors International of Washington performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Hormel Foods Corp (HRL)

Hormel Foods Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.98 in 2014 to an estimated $1.6 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Hormel Foods Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $19.56. The company pays a dividend of $0.68 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 22.92, which was below the industry average of 24.35, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-1.27.

Hormel Foods Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST)

Ross Stores, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.87 in 2015 to an estimated $3.36 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 8.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Ross Stores, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $27.22. The company pays a dividend of $0.64 per share, for a yield of 0.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.85, which was below the industry average of 25.4, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $1.55.

Ross Stores, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Disclaimer: 

The author held a long position in People’s United Financial Inc but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice and all readers are encouraged to speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investing decisions.  Please also read our full disclaimer.

Bank of America Corp Valuation – January 2019 $BAC

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Bank of America Corporation, incorporated on July 31, 1998, is a bank holding company (BHC) and a financial holding company. The Company is a financial institution, serving individual consumers, small- and middle-market businesses, institutional investors, corporations and governments with a range of banking, investing, asset management and other financial and risk management products and services. The Company, through its banking and various non-bank subsidiaries, throughout the United States and in international markets, provides a range of banking and non-bank financial services and products through its business segments: Consumer Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management (GWIM), Global Banking, Global Markets and All Other.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of BAC – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $286,017,419,982 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -6372.73% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 13.42 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.11 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.20
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $84.85
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $31.96
MG Value based on 0% Growth $18.73
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.46%
Current Price $29.58
% of Intrinsic Value 34.86%

Bank of America Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.76 in 2015 to an estimated $2.2 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.46% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Bank of America Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $39.29. The company pays a dividend of $0.54 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 13.42, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Bank of America Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $39.29
PEmg 13.42
PB Ratio 1.11
Dividend Yield 1.83%
TTM Dividend $0.54
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $229,340,000,000
Total Assets $2,354,507,000,000
Intangible Assets $68,951,000,000
Total Liabilities $2,089,182,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 9,996,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.73
Dec2018 $2.61
Dec2017 $1.56
Dec2016 $1.49
Dec2015 $1.31
Dec2014 $0.42
Dec2013 $0.90
Dec2012 $0.25
Dec2011 $0.01
Dec2010 -$0.37
Dec2009 -$0.29
Dec2008 $0.54
Dec2007 $3.29
Dec2006 $4.59
Dec2005 $4.04
Dec2004 $3.69
Dec2003 $3.57
Dec2002 $2.96
Dec2001 $2.09
Dec2000 $2.26
Dec1999 $2.24

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.20
Dec2018 $1.79
Dec2017 $1.30
Dec2016 $1.07
Dec2015 $0.76
Dec2014 $0.41
Dec2013 $0.30
Dec2012 $0.01
Dec2011 $0.14
Dec2010 $0.65
Dec2009 $1.59
Dec2008 $2.76
Dec2007 $3.86
Dec2006 $4.02
Dec2005 $3.58
Dec2004 $3.20
Dec2003 $2.85

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

10 Undervalued Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – April 2018
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – April 2018
Bank of America Corp Valuation – March 2018 $BAC
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – August 2016
Best Stocks to Invest In: the Bank Industry – August 2016

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Fifth Third Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $FITB
Zions Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $ZION
Regions Financial Corp Valuation – January 2019 $RF
Huntington Bancshares Inc Valuation – January 2019 $HBAN
PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY
Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM
CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Fifth Third Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $FITB

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Fifth Third Bancorp, incorporated on October 7, 1974, is a bank holding company and a financial holding company. The Company conducts its principal lending, deposit gathering, transaction processing and service advisory activities through its banking and non-banking subsidiaries from banking centers located throughout the Midwestern and Southeastern regions of the United States. The Company operates through four segments: Commercial Banking, Branch Banking, Consumer Lending, and Wealth and Asset Management. The Company diversifies its loan and lease portfolio by offering a range of loan and lease products with various payment terms and rate structures. It offers commercial and industrial loans, commercial mortgage loans, commercial construction loans, commercial leases, residential mortgage loans, home equity, automobile loans, credit card, and other consumer loans and leases. The Company offers various types of deposits, such as demand deposits, interest checking deposits, savings deposits, money market deposits, transaction deposits and other time deposits. As of December 31, 2016, the Company’s total deposits were $103.8 billion. As of December 31, 2016, the Company’s total loans were $92.8 billion.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of FITB – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $17,701,621,200 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 199.60% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.21 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.16 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.41
MG Growth Estimate 7.26%
MG Value $55.48
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A
MG Value based on 3% Growth $34.94
MG Value based on 0% Growth $20.48
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.35%
Current Price $27.00
% of Intrinsic Value 48.67%

Fifth Third Bancorp qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.62 in 2014 to an estimated $2.41 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.35% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Fifth Third Bancorp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $36.08. The company pays a dividend of $0.6 per share, for a yield of 2.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.21, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Fifth Third Bancorp fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $36.08
PEmg 11.21
PB Ratio 1.16
Dividend Yield 2.22%
TTM Dividend $0.60
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $14,460,000,000
Total Assets $141,685,000,000
Intangible Assets $3,500,000,000
Total Liabilities $125,835,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 679,199,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.67
Dec2017 $2.83
Dec2016 $1.93
Dec2015 $2.01
Dec2014 $1.66
Dec2013 $2.02
Dec2012 $1.66
Dec2011 $1.18
Dec2010 $0.63
Dec2009 $0.67
Dec2008 -$3.91
Dec2007 $1.99
Dec2006 $2.13
Dec2005 $2.77
Dec2004 $2.68
Dec2003 $3.03
Dec2002 $2.59
Dec2001 $1.70
Dec2000 $1.83
Dec1999 $1.43
Dec1998 $1.19

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.41
Dec2017 $2.22
Dec2016 $1.89
Dec2015 $1.82
Dec2014 $1.62
Dec2013 $1.48
Dec2012 $0.82
Dec2011 $0.31
Dec2010 $0.01
Dec2009 $0.05
Dec2008 $0.20
Dec2007 $2.34
Dec2006 $2.56
Dec2005 $2.70
Dec2004 $2.57
Dec2003 $2.38
Dec2002 $1.95

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Fifth Third Bancorp Valuation – March 2018 $FITB
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – March 2017
Best Stocks to Invest In: the Bank Industry – August 2016
10 Most Undervalued Companies for the Enterprising Investor – July 2016
9 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 7/8/16

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Zions Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $ZION
Regions Financial Corp Valuation – January 2019 $RF
Huntington Bancshares Inc Valuation – January 2019 $HBAN
PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY
Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM
CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF
Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Zions Bancorp Valuation – January 2019 $ZION

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Zions Bancorporation, incorporated on April 25, 1955, is a financial holding company. The Company conducts its banking operations through separately managed and branded segments, including Zions Bank, Amegy Bank, California Bank & Trust, National Bank of Arizona, Nevada State Bank (NSB), Vectra Bank Colorado, The Commerce Bank of Washington (TCBW) and Other. The Company provides a range of banking and related services, primarily in Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington and Wyoming.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of ZION – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $8,880,873,295 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -173.64% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 17.29 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.26 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.67
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $102.92
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $38.76
MG Value based on 0% Growth $22.72
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.39%
Current Price $46.21
% of Intrinsic Value 44.90%

Zions Bancorp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.12 in 2014 to an estimated $2.67 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.39% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Zions Bancorp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $56.43. The company pays a dividend of $0.44 per share, for a yield of 1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 17.29, which was above the industry average of 14.65.

Zions Bancorp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $56.43
PEmg 17.29
PB Ratio 1.26
Dividend Yield 0.95%
TTM Dividend $0.44
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $879,000,000
Total Assets $66,731,000,000
Intangible Assets $1,015,000,000
Total Liabilities $59,178,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 205,765,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.93
Dec2017 $2.60
Dec2016 $1.99
Dec2015 $1.20
Dec2014 $1.68
Dec2013 $1.58
Dec2012 $0.97
Dec2011 $0.83
Dec2010 -$2.48
Dec2009 -$9.92
Dec2008 -$2.68
Dec2007 $4.42
Dec2006 $5.36
Dec2005 $5.16
Dec2004 $4.47
Dec2003 $3.72
Dec2002 $2.78
Dec2001 $3.07
Dec2000 $1.86
Dec1999 $2.26
Dec1998 $1.75

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.67
Dec2017 $1.97
Dec2016 $1.59
Dec2015 $1.35
Dec2014 $1.12
Dec2013 -$0.04
Dec2012 -$1.45
Dec2011 -$2.43
Dec2010 -$3.06
Dec2009 -$2.08
Dec2008 $2.34
Dec2007 $4.78
Dec2006 $4.74
Dec2005 $4.23
Dec2004 $3.57
Dec2003 $2.99
Dec2002 $2.54

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Zions Bancorp Valuation – June 2016 $ZION
40 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 2/21/15
Zions Bancorporation Annual Valuation – 2015 $ZION
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 2/15/14
Zions Bancorporation (ZION) Annual Valuation

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Regions Financial Corp Valuation – January 2019 $RF
Huntington Bancshares Inc Valuation – January 2019 $HBAN
PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY
Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM
CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF
Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Regions Financial Corp Valuation – January 2019 $RF

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Regions Financial Corporation, incorporated on February 13, 2004, is a financial holding company. The Company conducts its banking operations through Regions Bank, an Alabama state-chartered commercial bank, which is a member of the Federal Reserve System. The Company operates in three segments: Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank and Wealth Management. The Company provides traditional commercial, retail and mortgage banking services, as well as other financial services in the fields of asset management, wealth management, securities brokerage, insurance brokerage, trust services, merger and acquisition advisory services, and other specialty financing. As of December 31, 2016, the Company operated 1,906 automatic teller machines (ATMs) and over 1,527 banking offices in Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas.

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of RF – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $15,962,952,366 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -252.47% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 13.99 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.14 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.10
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $42.48
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $16.00
MG Value based on 0% Growth $9.38
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.75%
Current Price $15.44
% of Intrinsic Value 36.35%

Regions Financial Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.52 in 2014 to an estimated $1.1 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.75% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Regions Financial Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.6. The company pays a dividend of $0.32 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 13.99, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Regions Financial Corp fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $21.60
PEmg 13.99
PB Ratio 1.14
Dividend Yield 2.04%
TTM Dividend $0.32
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $11,178,000,000
Total Assets $124,578,000,000
Intangible Assets $5,357,000,000
Total Liabilities $109,808,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 1,095,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.53
Dec2017 $1.00
Dec2016 $0.87
Dec2015 $0.75
Dec2014 $0.79
Dec2013 $0.75
Dec2012 $0.71
Dec2011 -$0.34
Dec2010 -$0.62
Dec2009 -$1.27
Dec2008 -$8.09
Dec2007 $1.76
Dec2006 $2.67
Dec2005 $2.15
Dec2004 $2.19
Dec2003 $2.90
Dec2002 $2.72
Dec2001 $1.82
Dec2000 $1.92
Dec1999 $1.90
Dec1998 $1.88

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.10
Dec2017 $0.87
Dec2016 $0.80
Dec2015 $0.68
Dec2014 $0.52
Dec2013 $0.20
Dec2012 -$0.69
Dec2011 -$1.49
Dec2010 -$1.75
Dec2009 -$1.73
Dec2008 -$1.26
Dec2007 $2.21
Dec2006 $2.47
Dec2005 $2.36
Dec2004 $2.42
Dec2003 $2.44
Dec2002 $2.15

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

10 Undervalued Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – April 2018
Regions Financial Corp Valuation – March 2018 $RF
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – August 2016
Best Stocks to Invest In: the Bank Industry – August 2016
Stocks Trading Below Their Graham Number – July 2016

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY
Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM
CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF
Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL
S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – August 2018 $STBA
Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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