T. Rowe Price Group Inc. Quarterly Stock Valuation – September 2014 $TROW

220px-T-Rowe-Price-logoBenjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk.  This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company or by reviewing the 5 Undervalued Companies for the Enterprising Investor.  By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company’s historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries.  What follows is a specific look at how T. Rowe Price Group (TROW) fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

Company Profile (obtained from Google Finance): T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a financial services holding company, which provides global investment management services through its subsidiaries to individual and institutional investors in the sponsored T. Rowe Price mutual funds and other investment portfolios, including separately managed accounts, sub-advised funds, and other sponsored investment funds offered to investors outside the United States and through variable annuity life insurance plans in the United States. The Company derives revenue from investment advisory services provided by its subsidiaries, such as T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. and T. Rowe Price International Ltd. Its revenues depend on the total value and composition of assets under its management. Its assets under management are accumulated from a client base across four distribution channels. Effective August 20, 2013, T Rowe Price Group Inc acquired an undisclosed interest in GrubHub Inc, a provider of online food delivery services.
TROW Chart

TROW data by YCharts

Defensive Investor – must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 5/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise – market capitalization of at least $2 billion – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition – current ratio greater than 2 – PASS
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years – PASS
  5. Earnings Growth – earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period – PASS
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio – PEmg is less than 20 – FAIL
  7. Moderate Price to Assets – PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 – FAIL

Enterprising Investor – must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 5/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 – current ratio greater than 1.5 – PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 – Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 – PASS
  3. Earnings Stability – positive earnings per share for at least 5 years – PASS
  4. Dividend Record – currently pays a dividend – PASS
  5. Earnings growth – EPSmg greater than 5 years ago – PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

Recent Price $80.65
MG Value $123.09
MG Opinion Undervalued
Value Based on 3% Growth $54.75
Value Based on 0% Growth $32.10
Market Implied Growth Rate 6.43%
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $6.60
PEmg 21.36
Current Ratio 5.39
PB Ratio 4.02

Balance Sheet – 6/30/2014

Current Assets $2,130,300,000
Current Liabilities $395,400,000
Total Debt $0
Total Assets $5,669,000,000
Intangible Assets $665,700,000
Total Liabilities $395,400,000
Outstanding Shares 263,020,000

Earnings Per Share

2014 (estimate) $4.50
2013 $3.90
2012 $3.39
2011 $2.92
2010 $2.53
2009 $1.65
2008 $1.82
2007 $2.40
2006 $1.90
2005 $1.58
2004 $1.26

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham

2014 (estimate) $3.78
2013 $3.24
2012 $2.76
2011 $2.38
2010 $2.09
2009 $1.87

Dividend History

TROW Dividend Chart

TROW Dividend data by YCharts

Conclusion:

T. Rowe Price is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the Defensive Investor.  The Defensive Investor is concerned by the high PEmg and PB ratios, while the Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns.  As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham’s methods should feel comfortable proceeding with research into the company and comparing it to other opportunities.  As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.09 in 2010 to an estimated $3.78 for 2014.  This level of demonstrated growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 6.43% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

The next part of the analysis is up to individual investors, and requires discussion of the company’s prospects.  What do you think?  What value would you put on T.Rowe Price Group (TROW)?  Where do you see the company going in the future?  Is there a company you like better?  Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclaimer:  The author did not hold a position in T.Rowe Price Group (TROW) or in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  Logo taken from Wikipedia for the sole purpose of identifying the company; this article is not affiliated with the company in any manner.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc Valuation – April 2019 #GS

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., incorporated on July 21, 1998, is an investment banking, securities and investment management company that provides a range of financial services to corporations, financial institutions, governments and individuals. The Company operates in four business segments: Investment Banking, Institutional Client Services, Investing & Lending, and Investment Management. As of December 2016, it had offices in over 30 countries.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of GS – April 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $74,225,517,968 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 62.01% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.71 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.86 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $17.28
MG Growth Estimate 3.68%
MG Value $274.01
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $250.54
MG Value based on 0% Growth $146.87
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.61%
Current Price $202.38
% of Intrinsic Value 73.86%

Goldman Sachs Group Inc qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $13.88 in 2015 to an estimated $17.28 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.61% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Goldman Sachs Group Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $287.24. The company pays a dividend of $3.15 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.71, which was below the industry average of 21.66, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $287.24
PEmg 11.71
PB Ratio 0.86
Dividend Yield 1.56%
TTM Dividend $3.15
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $245,582,000,000
Total Assets $931,796,000,000
Intangible Assets $4,082,000,000
Total Liabilities $841,611,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 383,900,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $17.27
Dec2018 $25.27
Dec2017 $9.01
Dec2016 $16.29
Dec2015 $12.14
Dec2014 $17.07
Dec2013 $15.46
Dec2012 $14.13
Dec2011 $4.51
Dec2010 $13.18
Dec2009 $22.13
Nov2008 $4.47
Nov2007 $24.73
Nov2006 $19.69
Nov2005 $11.21
Nov2004 $8.92
Nov2003 $5.87
Nov2002 $4.03
Nov2001 $4.26
Nov2000 $6.00
Nov1999 $5.57

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $17.28
Dec2018 $16.84
Dec2017 $13.08
Dec2016 $15.08
Dec2015 $13.88
Dec2014 $14.12
Dec2013 $13.06
Dec2012 $11.80
Dec2011 $11.69
Dec2010 $15.80
Dec2009 $16.89
Nov2008 $14.11
Nov2007 $17.32
Nov2006 $12.39
Nov2005 $8.11
Nov2004 $6.31
Nov2003 $5.05

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Goldman Sachs Group Inc Valuation – November 2018 $GS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc Valuation – February 2018 $GS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc Valuation – June 2016 $GS
10 Low PE Stocks for the Enterprising Investor – June 2016
Stocks Trading Below Their Graham Number – May 2016

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

American Express Co Valuation – April 2019 #AXP
Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc Valuation – April 2019 #BR
T.Rowe Price Group Inc Valuation – March 2019 #TROW
Moody’s Corp Valuation – March 2019 #MCO
Charles Schwab Corp Valuation – March 2019 #SCHW
Willis Towers Watson PLC Valuation – March 2019 #WLTW
Paypal Holdings Inc Valuation – March 2019 #PYPL
Synchrony Financial Valuation – March 2019 #SYF
CBRE Group Inc Valuation – March 2019 #CBRE
Franklin Resources Inc Valuation – March 2019 #BEN

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

American Express Co Valuation – April 2019 #AXP

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): American Express Company, incorporated on June 10, 1965, together with its subsidiaries, is a global services company. The Company’s principal products and services are charge and credit card products, and travel-related services offered to consumers and businesses around the world. The Company’s segments include the Global Consumer Services Group (GCSG), Global Merchant and Network Services (GMNS), and Global Commercial Services (GCS). The Company’s range of products and services includes network services; merchant acquisition and processing, servicing and settlement, and point-of-sale marketing and information products and services for merchants; other fee services, including fraud prevention services and the design and operation of customer loyalty programs; expense management products and services, and stored value/prepaid products.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of AXP – April 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $93,000,342,672 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 83.98% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 15.56 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 4.24 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $7.13
MG Growth Estimate 6.66%
MG Value $155.42
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $103.32
MG Value based on 0% Growth $60.57
Market Implied Growth Rate 3.53%
Current Price $110.86
% of Intrinsic Value 71.33%

American Express Company is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.94 in 2015 to an estimated $7.13 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.53% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into American Express Company revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $76.95. The company pays a dividend of $1.48 per share, for a yield of 1.3% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 15.56, which was below the industry average of 21.66, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

American Express Company performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $76.95
PEmg 15.56
PB Ratio 4.24
Dividend Yield 1.34%
TTM Dividend $1.48
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 3

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $58,423,000,000
Total Assets $188,602,000,000
Intangible Assets $3,347,000,000
Total Liabilities $166,312,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 853,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $10.00
Dec2018 $7.91
Dec2017 $2.99
Dec2016 $5.61
Dec2015 $5.05
Dec2014 $5.56
Dec2013 $4.88
Dec2012 $3.89
Dec2011 $4.12
Dec2010 $3.35
Dec2009 $1.54
Dec2008 $2.32
Dec2007 $3.36
Dec2006 $2.99
Dec2005 $2.97
Dec2004 $2.68
Dec2003 $2.30
Dec2002 $2.01
Dec2001 $0.98
Dec2000 $2.07
Dec1999 $1.81

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $7.13
Dec2018 $5.60
Dec2017 $4.57
Dec2016 $5.24
Dec2015 $4.94
Dec2014 $4.71
Dec2013 $4.04
Dec2012 $3.43
Dec2011 $3.11
Dec2010 $2.64
Dec2009 $2.40
Dec2008 $2.84
Dec2007 $3.02
Dec2006 $2.77
Dec2005 $2.50
Dec2004 $2.18
Dec2003 $1.90

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

American Express Co Valuation – November 2018 $AXP
American Express Co. Valuation – February 2018 $AXP
5 Undervalued Dow Components to Research – March 2017
5 Undervalued Dow Components to Research – February 2017
10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – January 2017

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc Valuation – April 2019 #BR
T.Rowe Price Group Inc Valuation – March 2019 #TROW
Moody’s Corp Valuation – March 2019 #MCO
Charles Schwab Corp Valuation – March 2019 #SCHW
Willis Towers Watson PLC Valuation – March 2019 #WLTW
Paypal Holdings Inc Valuation – March 2019 #PYPL
Synchrony Financial Valuation – March 2019 #SYF
CBRE Group Inc Valuation – March 2019 #CBRE
Franklin Resources Inc Valuation – March 2019 #BEN
S&P Global Inc Valuation – March 2019 #SPGI

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc Valuation – April 2019 #BR

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. (Broadridge), incorporated on December 6, 2006, is a provider of investor communications and technology-driven solutions to banks, broker-dealers, mutual funds and corporate issuers. The Company’s segments include Investor Communication Solutions, and Global Technology and Operations. The Company’s services include investor and customer communications, securities processing, and data and analytics solutions. The Company delivers a range of solutions that helps its clients serve their retail and institutional customers across the entire investment lifecycle, including pre-trade, trade, and post-trade processing functionality. The Company serves a client base across four client groups: capital markets, asset management, wealth management and corporations.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of BR – April 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $12,145,347,942 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.02 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 185.25% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 31.08 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 11.13 Fail
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.02 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 78.56 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $3.37
MG Growth Estimate 11.73%
MG Value $107.83
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade D
MG Value based on 3% Growth $48.93
MG Value based on 0% Growth $28.68
Market Implied Growth Rate 11.29%
Current Price $104.87
% of Intrinsic Value 97.25%

Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.89 in 2015 to an estimated $3.37 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 11.29% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $29.75. The company pays a dividend of $1.46 per share, for a yield of 1.4% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 31.08, which was above the industry average of 21.66. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-10.65.

Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$10.65
Graham Number $29.75
PEmg 31.08
Current Ratio 1.02
PB Ratio 11.13
Current Dividend $1.46
Dividend Yield 1.39%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 12

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2018
Total Current Assets $966,400,000
Total Current Liabilities $951,200,000
Long-Term Debt $1,194,100,000
Total Assets $3,357,600,000
Intangible Assets $1,699,700,000
Total Liabilities $2,235,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 119,100,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.18
Jun2018 $3.56
Jun2017 $2.70
Jun2016 $2.53
Jun2015 $2.32
Jun2014 $2.12
Jun2013 $1.69
Jun2012 $0.97
Jun2011 $1.32
Jun2010 $1.37
Jun2009 $1.58
Jun2008 $1.36
Jun2007 $1.42
Jun2006 $1.20

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.37
Jun2018 $2.86
Jun2017 $2.43
Jun2016 $2.18
Jun2015 $1.89
Jun2014 $1.62
Jun2013 $1.37
Jun2012 $1.25
Jun2011 $1.40
Jun2010 $1.42
Jun2009 $1.33
Jun2008 $1.07
Jun2007 $0.79
Jun2006 $0.40

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

None. This is the first time ModernGraham has covered the company.

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

T.Rowe Price Group Inc Valuation – March 2019 #TROW
Moody’s Corp Valuation – March 2019 #MCO
Charles Schwab Corp Valuation – March 2019 #SCHW
Willis Towers Watson PLC Valuation – March 2019 #WLTW
Paypal Holdings Inc Valuation – March 2019 #PYPL
Synchrony Financial Valuation – March 2019 #SYF
CBRE Group Inc Valuation – March 2019 #CBRE
Franklin Resources Inc Valuation – March 2019 #BEN
S&P Global Inc Valuation – March 2019 #SPGI
Equifax Inc Valuation – March 2019 #EFX

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – February 2019

Dividend Growth Stocks

Dividend growth investing is a very popular approach which can fit within the ModernGraham methods.  This article will look at companies reviewed by ModernGraham which have grown their dividends annually for at least the last 20 years.  Out of over 800 companies covered by ModernGraham, only 70 have grown dividends annually for at least the last 20 years.

Defensive Investors are defined as investors who need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk.

The Elite

The following companies have been rated as undervalued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

AFLAC Incorporated (AFL)

AFLAC Incorporated qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.03 in 2014 to an estimated $4.11 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into AFLAC Incorporated revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $53.04. The company pays a dividend of $0.87 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.93, which was below the industry average of 30.63, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

AFLAC Incorporated fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A+.  (See the full valuation)

A. O. Smith Corp (AOS)

A. O. Smith Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.05 in 2014 to an estimated $1.95 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.55% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into A. O. Smith Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $23.34. The company pays a dividend of $0.56 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.59, which was below the industry average of 23.62, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $1.92.

A. O. Smith Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.69 in 2014 to an estimated $4.82 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.78% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cincinnati Financial Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $76.19. The company pays a dividend of $2 per share, for a yield of 2.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 16.06, which was below the industry average of 32.22, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Carlisle Companies, Inc. (CSL)

Carlisle Companies, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.51 in 2014 to an estimated $6.51 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.54% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Carlisle Companies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $95.82. The company pays a dividend of $1.44 per share, for a yield of 1.1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.59, which was above the industry average of 18.51. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-9.61.

Carlisle Companies, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Leggett & Platt, Inc. (LEG)

Leggett & Platt, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.14 in 2014 to an estimated $2.35 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.06% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Leggett & Platt, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $23.11. The company pays a dividend of $1.42 per share, for a yield of 3.3%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.62, which was above the industry average of 17.71. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-5.

Leggett & Platt, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.  (See the full valuation)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.1 in 2015 to an estimated $4.11 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.7% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Lowe’s Companies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $29. The company pays a dividend of $1.58 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.9, which was below the industry average of 25.61, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.93.

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.  (See the full valuation)

People’s United Financial, Inc. (PBCT)

People’s United Financial, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.71 in 2014 to an estimated $1.04 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.89% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into People’s United Financial, Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.65. The company pays a dividend of $0.69 per share, for a yield of 4.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.28, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

People’s United Financial, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A+.  (See the full valuation)

SEI Investments Company (SEIC)

SEI Investments Company is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.52 in 2014 to an estimated $2.47 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.97% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into SEI Investments Company revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $25.4. The company pays a dividend of $0.58 per share, for a yield of 1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.43, which was above the industry average of 21.47. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $5.12.

SEI Investments Company performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. (SKT)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.76 in 2014 to an estimated $1.25 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $11.47. The company pays a dividend of $1.35 per share, for a yield of 5.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.86, which was below the industry average of 49.54, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-17.97.

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.  (See the full valuation)

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK)

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.09 in 2014 to an estimated $7.32 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.97% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $95.94. The company pays a dividend of $2.42 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.45, which was below the industry average of 28.31, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-40.05.

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.  (See the full valuation)

T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW)

T. Rowe Price Group Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.79 in 2014 to an estimated $5.76 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.15% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into T. Rowe Price Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $60.69. The company pays a dividend of $2.28 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.79, which was below the industry average of 22.96, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $3.21.

T. Rowe Price Group Inc performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

The Good

The following companies have been rated as fairly valued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD)

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $5.23 in 2015 to an estimated $8 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 5.63% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $94.7. The company pays a dividend of $4.25 per share, for a yield of 2.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.76, which was below the industry average of 20.47, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-13.21.

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.  (See the full valuation)

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (CFR)

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.92 in 2014 to an estimated $5.42 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.25% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $84.91. The company pays a dividend of $2.25 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.01, which was above the industry average of 20.05.

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Cintas Corporation (CTAS)

Cintas Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.94 in 2015 to an estimated $6.44 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 10.34% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cintas Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $68.91. The company pays a dividend of $1.62 per share, for a yield of 0.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 29.17, which was below the industry average of 29.23, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.68.

Cintas Corporation performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)

Expeditors International of Washington is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.75 in 2014 to an estimated $2.73 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 8.27% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Expeditors International of Washington revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $28.87. The company pays a dividend of $0.84 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 25.05, which was above the industry average of 17.22. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $7.73.

Expeditors International of Washington performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.  (See the full valuation)

Hormel Foods Corp (HRL)

Hormel Foods Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.98 in 2014 to an estimated $1.6 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Hormel Foods Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $19.56. The company pays a dividend of $0.68 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 22.92, which was below the industry average of 24.35, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-1.27.

Hormel Foods Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST)

Ross Stores, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.87 in 2015 to an estimated $3.36 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 8.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Ross Stores, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $27.22. The company pays a dividend of $0.64 per share, for a yield of 0.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.85, which was below the industry average of 25.4, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $1.55.

Ross Stores, Inc. performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.  (See the full valuation)

Disclaimer: 

The author held a long position in People’s United Financial Inc but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice and all readers are encouraged to speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investing decisions.  Please also read our full disclaimer.

Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – August 2018

Dividend Growth Stocks

Dividend growth investing is a very popular approach which can fit within the ModernGraham methods.  This article will look at companies reviewed by ModernGraham which have grown their dividends annually for at least the last 20 years.  Out of over 900 companies covered by ModernGraham, only 73 have grown dividends annually for at least the last 20 years.

Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk.

The Elite

The following companies have been rated as undervalued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

AFLAC Incorporated (AFL)

AFLAC Incorporated qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $6.07 in 2014 to an estimated $8.08 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into AFLAC Incorporated revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $103.31. The company pays a dividend of $1.74 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.92, which was below the industry average of 22.76, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  (See the full valuation)

Cardinal Health Inc (CAH)

Cardinal Health Inc qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.48 in 2014 to an estimated $4.43 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 3.14% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cardinal Health Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $50.88. The company pays a dividend of $1.81 per share, for a yield of 2.8%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.78, which was below the industry average of 43.8, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-32.02.  (See the full valuation)

Leggett & Platt, Inc. (LEG)

Leggett & Platt, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.14 in 2014 to an estimated $2.35 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.06% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Leggett & Platt, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $23.11. The company pays a dividend of $1.42 per share, for a yield of 3.3%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.62, which was above the industry average of 17.71. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-5.  (See the full valuation)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.1 in 2015 to an estimated $4.11 for 2019. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.7% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Lowe’s Companies, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $29. The company pays a dividend of $1.58 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.9, which was below the industry average of 25.61, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-19.93.  (See the full valuation)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. (SKT)

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the high PB ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.76 in 2014 to an estimated $1.25 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.18% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $11.47. The company pays a dividend of $1.35 per share, for a yield of 5.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.86, which was below the industry average of 49.54, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-17.97.  (See the full valuation)

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK)

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.09 in 2014 to an estimated $7.32 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.97% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $95.94. The company pays a dividend of $2.42 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.45, which was below the industry average of 28.31, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-40.05.  (See the full valuation)

The Good

The following companies have been rated as fairly valued and suitable for either the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor:

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD)

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.94 in 2014 to an estimated $7.66 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.66% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $85.6. The company pays a dividend of $3.71 per share, for a yield of 2.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.81, which was below the industry average of 31.55, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-11.97.  (See the full valuation)

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (CFR)

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.92 in 2014 to an estimated $5.42 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.25% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $84.91. The company pays a dividend of $2.25 per share, for a yield of 2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 21.01, which was above the industry average of 20.05.  (See the full valuation)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.69 in 2014 to an estimated $4.11 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 4.82% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cincinnati Financial Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $58.26. The company pays a dividend of $2 per share, for a yield of 2.7%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.15, which was below the industry average of 20.16, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  (See the full valuation)

Cintas Corporation (CTAS)

Cintas Corporation is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.46 in 2014 to an estimated $5.53 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 11.17% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Cintas Corporation revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $59.9. The company pays a dividend of $1.33 per share, for a yield of 0.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 30.84, which was below the industry average of 32.93, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-18.65.  (See the full valuation)

Hormel Foods Corp (HRL)

Hormel Foods Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.98 in 2014 to an estimated $1.6 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.21% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Hormel Foods Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $19.56. The company pays a dividend of $0.68 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 22.92, which was below the industry average of 24.35, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-1.27.  (See the full valuation)

People’s United Financial, Inc. (PBCT)

People’s United Financial, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.71 in 2014 to an estimated $1.02 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 5.13% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into People’s United Financial, Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.22. The company pays a dividend of $0.69 per share, for a yield of 3.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 18.76, which was below the industry average of 20.84, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.  (See the full valuation)

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST)

Ross Stores, Inc. is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.62 in 2014 to an estimated $2.77 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 9.86% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Ross Stores, Inc. revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $22.68. The company pays a dividend of $0.54 per share, for a yield of 0.7% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 28.22, which was below the industry average of 48.5, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $0.86.  (See the full valuation)

SEI Investments Company (SEIC)

SEI Investments Company is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.52 in 2014 to an estimated $2.47 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 7.97% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into SEI Investments Company revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $25.4. The company pays a dividend of $0.58 per share, for a yield of 1% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 24.43, which was above the industry average of 21.47. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $5.12.  (See the full valuation)

T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW)

T. Rowe Price Group Inc is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the high PEmg and PB ratios. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.79 in 2014 to an estimated $5.76 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 6.15% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into T. Rowe Price Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $60.69. The company pays a dividend of $2.28 per share, for a yield of 1.9% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 20.79, which was below the industry average of 22.96, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $3.21.  (See the full valuation)

 

Disclaimer: 

The author held a long position in People’s United Financial Inc but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours. See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice and all readers are encouraged to speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investing decisions.  Please also read our full disclaimer.

Investment Technology Group Inc Valuation – July 2018 $ITG

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Investment Technology Group, Inc. (ITG), incorporated on March 10, 1994, is a financial technology company that helps brokers and asset managers improve returns for investors around the world. The Company operates through four segments: U.S. Operations, Canadian Operations, European Operations and Asia Pacific Operations. These four operating segments provide categories of products and services, such as Execution Services, Workflow Technology and Analytics.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of ITG – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $734,712,447 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 1.45 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -73.45% Fail
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 60.30 Fail
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.10 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 1.45 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 0.01 Pass
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.37
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $14.32
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade F
MG Value based on 3% Growth $5.39
MG Value based on 0% Growth $3.16
Market Implied Growth Rate 25.90%
Current Price $22.43
% of Intrinsic Value 156.61%

Investment Technology Group does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the low current ratio, and the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-1.16 in 2014 to an estimated $0.37 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 25.9% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Investment Technology Group revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $17.42. The company pays a dividend of $0.28 per share, for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 60.3, which was above the industry average of 21.47. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $5.69.

Investment Technology Group scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of F.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) $5.69
Graham Number $17.42
PEmg 60.30
Current Ratio 1.45
PB Ratio 2.10
Current Dividend $0.28
Dividend Yield 1.25%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 3

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Total Current Assets $631,207,000
Total Current Liabilities $435,222,000
Long-Term Debt $2,509,000
Total Assets $800,668,000
Intangible Assets $66,064,000
Total Liabilities $437,731,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 33,993,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.21
Dec2017 -$1.19
Dec2016 -$0.79
Dec2015 $2.63
Dec2014 $1.40
Dec2013 $0.82
Dec2012 -$6.45
Dec2011 -$4.42
Dec2010 $0.55
Dec2009 $0.97
Dec2008 $2.61
Dec2007 $2.48
Dec2006 $2.21
Dec2005 $1.60
Dec2004 $0.96
Dec2003 $0.89
Dec2002 $1.51
Dec2001 $1.62
Dec2000 $1.34
Dec1999 $0.95
Dec1998 $0.94

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.37
Dec2017 $0.16
Dec2016 $0.40
Dec2015 $0.26
Dec2014 -$1.16
Dec2013 -$2.19
Dec2012 -$2.92
Dec2011 -$0.62
Dec2010 $1.44
Dec2009 $1.92
Dec2008 $2.25
Dec2007 $1.92
Dec2006 $1.57
Dec2005 $1.28
Dec2004 $1.16
Dec2003 $1.27
Dec2002 $1.39

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Investment Technology Group Valuation – Initial Coverage $ITG

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Canadian General Investments Ltd Valuation – July 2018 $TSE-CGI
SLM Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SLM
IGM Financial Inc Valuation – July 2018 $TSE-IGM
Main Street Capital Corp Valuation – July 2018 $MAIN
Legg Mason Inc Valuation – June 2018 $LM
T. Rowe Price Group Inc Valuation – June 2018 $TROW
Moody’s Corporation – June 2018 $MCO
Charles Schwab Corp Valuation – June 2018 $SCHW
Willis Towers Watson PLC Valuation – Initial Coverage June 2018 $WLTW
PayPal Holdings Inc Valuation – June 2018 $PYPL

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Stifel Financial Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SF

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Stifel Financial Corp., incorporated on December 31, 1981, is a financial holding company. The Company operates through three segments: Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group and Other. The Company’s principal subsidiary is Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated (Stifel), a full-service retail and institutional wealth management and investment banking company. Its principal activities are private client services, including securities transaction and financial planning services; institutional equity and fixed income sales, trading, research and municipal finance; investment banking services, including mergers and acquisitions, public offerings and private placements, and retail and commercial banking, including personal and commercial lending programs. The Global Wealth Management segment consists of two businesses, such as the Private Client Group and Stifel Bank. The Private Client Group includes branch offices and independent contractor offices of its broker-dealer subsidiaries located throughout the United States. These branches provide securities brokerage services, including the sale of equities, mutual funds, fixed income products and insurance, as well as offers banking products to its private clients through Stifel Bank, which provides residential, consumer and commercial lending, as well as the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)-insured deposit accounts to customers of its broker-dealer subsidiaries and to the general public. The Institutional Group segment includes research, equity and fixed income institutional sales and trading, investment banking, public finance, and syndicate. The Other segment includes interest income from stock borrow activities and interest income, among others.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of SF – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $3,807,434,857 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 175.45% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 19.36 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.48 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

 

EPSmg $2.73
MG Growth Estimate 5.72%
MG Value $54.50
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $39.61
MG Value based on 0% Growth $23.22
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.43%
Current Price $52.89
% of Intrinsic Value 97.04%

Stifel Financial Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.98 in 2014 to an estimated $2.73 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 5.43% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Stifel Financial Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $65.28. The company pays a dividend of $0.2 per share, for a yield of 0.4% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.36, which was below the industry average of 21.47, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Stifel Financial Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $65.28
PEmg 19.36
PB Ratio 1.48
Dividend Yield 0.38%
TTM Dividend $0.20
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 1

 

Useful Links:

 

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $2,225,695,000
Total Assets $21,715,342,000
Intangible Assets $1,103,257,000
Total Liabilities $18,797,802,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 81,789,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $4.95
Dec2017 $2.14
Dec2016 $1.00
Dec2015 $1.18
Dec2014 $2.31
Dec2013 $2.20
Dec2012 $2.20
Dec2011 $1.34
Dec2010 $0.03
Dec2009 $1.57
Dec2008 $1.32
Dec2007 $0.83
Dec2006 $0.49
Dec2005 $0.69
Dec2004 $0.84
Dec2003 $0.61
Dec2002 $0.11
Dec2001 $0.08
Dec2000 $0.40
Dec1999 $0.34
Dec1998 $0.24

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.73
Dec2017 $1.67
Dec2016 $1.55
Dec2015 $1.83
Dec2014 $1.98
Dec2013 $1.70
Dec2012 $1.39
Dec2011 $1.00
Dec2010 $0.84
Dec2009 $1.15
Dec2008 $0.91
Dec2007 $0.70
Dec2006 $0.61
Dec2005 $0.60
Dec2004 $0.50
Dec2003 $0.33
Dec2002 $0.20

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Stifel Financial Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $SF

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Canadian General Investments Ltd Valuation – July 2018 $TSE-CGI
SLM Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SLM
IGM Financial Inc Valuation – July 2018 $TSE-IGM
Main Street Capital Corp Valuation – July 2018 $MAIN
Legg Mason Inc Valuation – June 2018 $LM
T. Rowe Price Group Inc Valuation – June 2018 $TROW
Moody’s Corporation – June 2018 $MCO
Charles Schwab Corp Valuation – June 2018 $SCHW
Willis Towers Watson PLC Valuation – Initial Coverage June 2018 $WLTW
PayPal Holdings Inc Valuation – June 2018 $PYPL

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

CI Financial Corp Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CIX

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): CI Financial Corp. (CI) is a wealth management and investment fund company. The Company is engaged in management, marketing, distribution and administration of mutual funds, segregated funds, exchange-traded funds, structured products and other fee-earning investment products for Canadian investors. CI operates through two segments: Asset Management and Asset Administration. The Company’s Asset Management segment provides the majority of CI’s income and derives its revenue principally from the fees earned on the management of various families of mutual, segregated, pooled, exchange-traded and closed-end funds, structured products and discretionary accounts. CI’s Asset Administration segment derives its revenue principally from commissions and fees earned on the sale of mutual funds and other financial products and ongoing service to clients. The Company’s products are distributed primarily through brokers, independent financial planners and insurance advisors, among others.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of TSE-CIX – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass 6 out of the following 7 tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $6,104,398,878 Pass
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 2 0.81 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
5. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 87.77% Pass
6. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 11.17 Pass
7. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 3.41 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass 4 out of the following 5 tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Current Ratio > 1.5 0.81 Fail
2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition Debt to NCA < 1.1 -3.84 Fail
3. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
4. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
5. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.06
MG Growth Estimate 5.45%
MG Value $39.99
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $29.88
MG Value based on 0% Growth $17.52
Market Implied Growth Rate 1.34%
Current Price $23.02
% of Intrinsic Value 57.57%

CI Financial Corp qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor is only initially concerned with the low current ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the level of debt relative to the current assets. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.51 in 2014 to an estimated $2.06 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 1.34% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Benjamin Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into CI Financial Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $20.21. The company pays a dividend of $1.4 per share, for a yield of 6.1%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.17, which was below the industry average of 21.47, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-6.06.

CI Financial Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$6.06
Graham Number $20.21
PEmg 11.17
Current Ratio 0.81
PB Ratio 3.41
Current Dividend $1.40
Dividend Yield 6.08%
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 8

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Total Current Assets $992,498,000
Total Current Liabilities $1,226,032,000
Long-Term Debt $896,323,000
Total Assets $4,450,387,000
Intangible Assets $3,374,753,000
Total Liabilities $2,628,370,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 269,970,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.40
Dec2017 $1.89
Dec2016 $1.85
Dec2015 $1.98
Dec2014 $1.84
Dec2013 $1.50
Dec2012 $1.24
Dec2011 $1.31
Dec2010 $1.13
Dec2009 $0.83
Dec2008 $1.61
Dec2007 $2.21
May2006 $1.08
May2005 $0.97
May2004 $0.82
May2003 $0.31
May2002 -$0.35
May2001 $0.06
May2000 -$0.01
May1999 $0.06
May1998 $0.06

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.06
Dec2017 $1.86
Dec2016 $1.80
Dec2015 $1.70
Dec2014 $1.51
Dec2013 $1.30
Dec2012 $1.21
Dec2011 $1.27
Dec2010 $1.29
Dec2009 $1.36
Dec2008 $1.53
Dec2007 $1.35
May2006 $0.80
May2005 $0.56
May2004 $0.29
May2003 $0.02
May2002 -$0.09

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

CI Financial Corp Valuation – Initial Coverage $TSE-CIX

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Canadian General Investments Ltd Valuation – July 2018 $TSE-CGI
SLM Corp Valuation – July 2018 $SLM
IGM Financial Inc Valuation – July 2018 $TSE-IGM
Main Street Capital Corp Valuation – July 2018 $MAIN
Legg Mason Inc Valuation – June 2018 $LM
T. Rowe Price Group Inc Valuation – June 2018 $TROW
Moody’s Corporation – June 2018 $MCO
Charles Schwab Corp Valuation – June 2018 $SCHW
Willis Towers Watson PLC Valuation – Initial Coverage June 2018 $WLTW
PayPal Holdings Inc Valuation – June 2018 $PYPL

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

INTL FCStone Inc Valuation – July 2018 $INTL

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): INTL FCStone Inc., incorporated on October 26, 1987, is a financial services organization. The Company provides financial products, and advisory and execution service. The Company operates through five segments: Commercial Hedging, Global Payments, Securities, Physical Commodities, and Clearing and Execution Services (CES). The Company focuses on the development of financial services in commodities, securities, global payments, foreign exchange and other markets. The Company’s services include risk management advisory services for commercial customers; execution of listed futures and options on futures contracts on commodity exchanges; structured over-the-counter (OTC) products in a range of commodities; physical trading and hedging of precious and base metals and select other commodities; trading of approximately 150 foreign currencies; market-making in international equities; fixed income, and debt origination and asset management. The Company’s clients include producers, processors and end users of physical commodities; commercial counterparties who are end users of its products and services; governmental and non-governmental organizations, and commercial banks, asset managers, insurance companies, brokers, institutional investors and investment banks.

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of INTL – July 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $1,009,549,467 Fail
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 39.96% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 23.10 Fail
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 2.19 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Fail
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.34
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $90.12
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade D+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $33.94
MG Value based on 0% Growth $19.90
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.30%
Current Price $54.08
% of Intrinsic Value 60.01%

INTL Fcstone Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, poor dividend history, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of dividends. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.98 in 2014 to an estimated $2.34 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.3% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into INTL Fcstone Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $44.66. The company does not pay a dividend. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 23.1, which was above the industry average of 21.47.

INTL Fcstone Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $44.66
PEmg 23.10
PB Ratio 2.19
Dividend Yield 0.00%
TTM Dividend $0.00
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 0

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 3/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $340,500,000
Total Assets $7,203,700,000
Intangible Assets $57,100,000
Total Liabilities $6,737,100,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 18,859,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.69
Sep2017 $0.31
Sep2016 $2.90
Sep2015 $2.87
Sep2014 $0.98
Sep2013 $0.97
Sep2012 $0.64
Sep2011 $1.83
Sep2010 $0.30
Sep2009 $2.80
Sep2008 $2.95
Sep2007 -$0.56
Sep2006 $0.41
Sep2005 $0.33
Sep2004 -$0.02
Sep2003 $0.33
Sep2002 -$0.11
Sep2001 -$1.47
Sep2000 $0.12
Sep1999 $0.18
Sep1998 -$0.12

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.34
Sep2017 $1.65
Sep2016 $2.10
Sep2015 $1.62
Sep2014 $0.98
Sep2013 $1.09
Sep2012 $1.33
Sep2011 $1.61
Sep2010 $1.39
Sep2009 $1.68
Sep2008 $0.96
Sep2007 $0.01
Sep2006 $0.26
Sep2005 $0.06
Sep2004 -$0.13
Sep2003 -$0.19
Sep2002 -$0.39

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

INTL Fcstone Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $INTL

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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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