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PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PNC

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc., incorporated on January 19, 1983, is a diversified financial services company. The Company has businesses engaged in retail banking, including residential mortgage, corporate and institutional banking and asset management, providing many of its products and services nationally. Its primary geographic markets located in Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Jersey, Michigan, Illinois, Maryland, Indiana, Florida, North Carolina, Kentucky, Washington, District of Columbia, Delaware, Virginia, Alabama, Georgia, Missouri, Wisconsin and South Carolina. It also provides various products and services internationally. The Company operates through four segments: Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, Asset Management Group, and BlackRock. Its bank subsidiary is PNC Bank, National Association (PNC Bank), which is a national bank.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of PNC – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $55,624,785,158 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 89.35% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 12.98 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.20 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $9.29
MG Growth Estimate 6.31%
MG Value $196.11
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A
MG Value based on 3% Growth $134.68
MG Value based on 0% Growth $78.95
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.24%
Current Price $120.55
% of Intrinsic Value 61.47%

PNC Financial Services Group Inc qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $6.54 in 2014 to an estimated $9.29 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.24% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into PNC Financial Services Group Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $156.09. The company pays a dividend of $2.6 per share, for a yield of 2.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 12.98, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

PNC Financial Services Group Inc fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $156.09
PEmg 12.98
PB Ratio 1.20
Dividend Yield 2.16%
TTM Dividend $2.60
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $52,476,000,000
Total Assets $380,080,000,000
Intangible Assets $11,354,000,000
Total Liabilities $332,978,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 467,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $10.78
Dec2017 $10.36
Dec2016 $7.30
Dec2015 $7.39
Dec2014 $7.30
Dec2013 $7.36
Dec2012 $5.28
Dec2011 $5.64
Dec2010 $5.02
Dec2009 $4.36
Dec2008 $2.44
Dec2007 $4.35
Dec2006 $8.73
Dec2005 $4.55
Dec2004 $4.21
Dec2003 $3.55
Dec2002 $4.15
Dec2001 $1.26
Dec2000 $4.31
Dec1999 $4.15
Dec1998 $3.60

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $9.29
Dec2017 $8.34
Dec2016 $7.20
Dec2015 $6.96
Dec2014 $6.54
Dec2013 $5.95
Dec2012 $5.01
Dec2011 $4.71
Dec2010 $4.49
Dec2009 $4.44
Dec2008 $4.61
Dec2007 $5.49
Dec2006 $5.72
Dec2005 $3.99
Dec2004 $3.64
Dec2003 $3.39
Dec2002 $3.37

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PNC
10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – January 2017
10 Low PE Stock Picks for the Defensive Investor – August 2016
Best Stocks to Invest In: the Bank Industry – August 2016
5 Companies for Defensive Investors Near 52 Week Lows – Aug 2016

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY
Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM
CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF
Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL
S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – August 2018 $STBA
Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

KeyCorp Valuation – January 2019 $KEY

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): KeyCorp, incorporated on December 31, 1958, is a bank holding company. The Company is a bank-based financial services company. The Company operates through its subsidiary, KeyBank National Association (KeyBank), which is engaged in providing banking services. Through KeyBank and other subsidiaries, the Company provides a range of retail and commercial banking, commercial leasing, investment management, consumer finance, commercial mortgage servicing and special servicing, and investment banking products and services to individual, corporate and institutional clients. The Company’s segments include Key Community Bank and Key Corporate Bank. Its Other Segments consist of corporate treasury, principal investing unit and various exit portfolios.

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of KEY – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $16,511,098,839 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -455.34% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 12.83 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.10 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.24
MG Growth Estimate 5.46%
MG Value $24.16
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $18.04
MG Value based on 0% Growth $10.57
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.16%
Current Price $15.96
% of Intrinsic Value 66.06%

KeyCorp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.91 in 2014 to an estimated $1.24 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.16% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into KeyCorp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $22.58. The company pays a dividend of $0.38 per share, for a yield of 2.4%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 12.83, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

KeyCorp fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $22.58
PEmg 12.83
PB Ratio 1.10
Dividend Yield 2.38%
TTM Dividend $0.38
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $13,849,000,000
Total Assets $138,805,000,000
Intangible Assets $2,854,000,000
Total Liabilities $123,595,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 1,049,976,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.73
Dec2017 $1.13
Dec2016 $0.80
Dec2015 $1.05
Dec2014 $0.99
Dec2013 $0.97
Dec2012 $0.89
Dec2011 $0.87
Dec2010 $0.44
Dec2009 -$2.34
Dec2008 -$3.36
Dec2007 $2.32
Dec2006 $2.57
Dec2005 $2.73
Dec2004 $2.30
Dec2003 $2.12
Dec2002 $2.27
Dec2001 $0.31
Dec2000 $2.30
Dec1999 $2.45
Dec1998 $2.23

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.24
Dec2017 $1.00
Dec2016 $0.93
Dec2015 $0.98
Dec2014 $0.91
Dec2013 $0.64
Dec2012 $0.08
Dec2011 -$0.35
Dec2010 -$0.67
Dec2009 -$0.69
Dec2008 $0.53
Dec2007 $2.45
Dec2006 $2.48
Dec2005 $2.27
Dec2004 $1.98
Dec2003 $1.84
Dec2002 $1.77

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

KeyCorp Valuation – March 2018 $KEY
9 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 6/24/16
KeyCorp Valuation – June 2016 $KEY
Best Stocks to Invest In: the Bank Industry – August 2016
Stocks Trading Below Their Graham Number – July 2016

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM
CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF
Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL
S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – August 2018 $STBA
Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Citigroup Inc Valuation – January 2019 $C

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Citigroup Inc. (Citi), incorporated on March 8, 1988, is a financial services holding company. The Company’s whose businesses provide consumers, corporations, governments and institutions with a range of financial products and services, including consumer banking and credit, corporate and investment banking, securities brokerage, trade and securities services and wealth management. The Company operates through two segments: Citicorp and Citi Holdings. Citicorp is the Company’s global bank for consumers and businesses and represents its core franchises. Citicorp is focused on providing products and services to customers and leveraging the Company’s global network, including various economies. As of December 31, 2016, Citicorp was present in 97 countries and jurisdictions, and offered services in over 160 countries and jurisdictions. Citicorp consists of the operating businesses, including Global Consumer Banking (consists of consumer banking businesses in North America, Latin America (consisting of Citi’s consumer banking businesses in Mexico) and Asia), and Institutional Clients Group (which includes Banking and Markets and securities services).

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of C – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $134,635,015,418 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Fail
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -1093.98% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 17.30 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.69 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Fail
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $3.19
MG Growth Estimate 0.42%
MG Value $29.77
Opinion Overvalued
MG Grade D+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $46.20
MG Value based on 0% Growth $27.08
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.40%
Current Price $55.13
% of Intrinsic Value 185.16%

Citigroup Inc does not satisfy the requirements of either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has concerns regarding the lack of earnings stability over the last five years. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should explore other opportunities at this time or proceed cautiously with a speculative attitude.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Overvalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.1 in 2014 to an estimated $3.19 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth does not support the market’s implied estimate of 4.4% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value below the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Citigroup Inc revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $101.71. The company pays a dividend of $0.96 per share, for a yield of 1.7% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 17.3, which was above the industry average of 14.65.

Citigroup Inc scores quite poorly in the ModernGraham grading system, with an overall grade of D+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $101.71
PEmg 17.30
PB Ratio 0.69
Dividend Yield 1.74%
TTM Dividend $0.96
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 3

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $235,270,000,000
Total Assets $1,925,165,000,000
Intangible Assets $27,403,000,000
Total Liabilities $1,727,302,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 2,481,400,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $6.51
Dec2017 -$2.98
Dec2016 $4.72
Dec2015 $5.40
Dec2014 $2.20
Dec2013 $4.34
Dec2012 $2.44
Dec2011 $3.63
Dec2010 $3.54
Dec2009 -$8.00
Dec2008 -$56.30
Dec2007 $7.20
Dec2006 $43.10
Dec2005 $47.50
Dec2004 $32.60
Dec2003 $34.20
Dec2002 $29.40
Dec2001 $27.20
Dec2000 $26.20
Dec1999 $21.70
Dec1998 $13.10

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.19
Dec2017 $1.93
Dec2016 $4.19
Dec2015 $3.82
Dec2014 $3.10
Dec2013 $2.76
Dec2012 -$2.33
Dec2011 -$6.47
Dec2010 -$8.38
Dec2009 -$7.33
Dec2008 $0.28
Dec2007 $30.02
Dec2006 $40.07
Dec2005 $37.10
Dec2004 $31.24
Dec2003 $29.62
Dec2002 $26.06

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Citigroup Inc Valuation – March 2018 $C
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – August 2017
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – March 2017
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – February 2017
10 Stocks for Using A Benjamin Graham Value Investing Strategy – February 2017

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM
CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF
Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL
S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – August 2018 $STBA
Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SFBS

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – January 2019 $PBCT

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): People’s United Financial, Inc., incorporated on November 2, 2006, is a bank holding company and a financial holding company of People’s United Bank (the Bank). The Bank is engaged in providing commercial banking, retail banking and wealth management services to individual, corporate and municipal customers. The Company operates through two segments: Commercial Banking and Retail Banking. Commercial Banking segment is engaged in commercial real estate lending, commercial and industrial lending, and commercial deposit gathering activities. It also offers cash management, correspondent banking, municipal banking, institutional trust services, corporate trust, insurance services and private banking, among others. Retail Banking segment provides consumer lending (including residential mortgage and home equity lending) and consumer deposit gathering activities. The Retail Banking segment also includes brokerage, financial advisory services, investment management services, and life insurance and non-institutional trust services.

PBCT Chart

PBCT data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of PBCT – January 2019

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $5,586,245,271 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 192.59% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 14.28 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 0.86 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.04
MG Growth Estimate 6.90%
MG Value $23.12
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade A+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $15.03
MG Value based on 0% Growth $8.81
Market Implied Growth Rate 2.89%
Current Price $14.80
% of Intrinsic Value 64.01%

People’s United Financial, Inc. qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.71 in 2014 to an estimated $1.04 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 2.89% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into People’s United Financial, Inc. revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.65. The company pays a dividend of $0.69 per share, for a yield of 4.6%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 14.28, which was below the industry average of 14.65, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

People’s United Financial, Inc. fares extremely well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring an A+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $21.65
PEmg 14.28
PB Ratio 0.86
Dividend Yield 4.65%
TTM Dividend $0.69
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 20

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 9/1/2018
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $3,281,300,000
Total Assets $44,133,200,000
Intangible Assets $2,568,900,000
Total Liabilities $38,174,300,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 345,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.27
Dec2017 $0.97
Dec2016 $0.92
Dec2015 $0.86
Dec2014 $0.84
Dec2013 $0.74
Dec2012 $0.72
Dec2011 $0.55
Dec2010 $0.23
Dec2009 $0.30
Dec2008 $0.41
Dec2007 $0.52
Dec2006 $0.41
Dec2005 $0.46
Dec2004 $0.68
Dec2003 $0.22
Dec2002 $0.19
Dec2001 $0.26
Dec2000 $0.38
Dec1999 $0.81
Dec1998 $0.64

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.04
Dec2017 $0.90
Dec2016 $0.85
Dec2015 $0.79
Dec2014 $0.71
Dec2013 $0.60
Dec2012 $0.50
Dec2011 $0.39
Dec2010 $0.34
Dec2009 $0.40
Dec2008 $0.46
Dec2007 $0.48
Dec2006 $0.44
Dec2005 $0.42
Dec2004 $0.38
Dec2003 $0.28
Dec2002 $0.36

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – August 2018
Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – June 2018
10 Undervalued Companies for the Defensive Dividend Stock Investor – June 2018
Best Dividend Paying Stocks for Dividend Growth Investors – April 2018
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PBCT

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – November 2018 $JPM
CVB Financial Corp Valuation – September 2018 $CVBF
Customers Bancorp Inc Valuation – September 2018 $CUBI
Sterling Bancorp Valuation – August 2018 $STL
S&T Bancorp Inc Valuation – August 2018 $STBA
Central Pacific Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $CPF
Synovus Financial Corp Valuation – August 2018 $SNV
Columbia Banking System Inc Valuation – August 2018 $COLB
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation – July 2018 $TSE:CM
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc Valuation – July 2018 $SFBS

Disclaimer:

The author held a long position in PBCT but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Regions Financial Corp Valuation – March 2018 $RF

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Regions Financial Corporation, incorporated on February 13, 2004, is a financial holding company. The Company conducts its banking operations through Regions Bank, an Alabama state-chartered commercial bank, which is a member of the Federal Reserve System. The Company operates in three segments: Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank and Wealth Management. The Company provides traditional commercial, retail and mortgage banking services, as well as other financial services in the fields of asset management, wealth management, securities brokerage, insurance brokerage, trust services, merger and acquisition advisory services, and other specialty financing. As of December 31, 2016, the Company operated 1,906 automatic teller machines (ATMs) and over 1,527 banking offices in Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas.

RF Chart

RF data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of RF – March 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $22,770,239,022 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -241.26% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 19.25 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.41 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.02
MG Growth Estimate 14.50%
MG Value $38.25
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $14.79
MG Value based on 0% Growth $8.67
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.37%
Current Price $19.63
% of Intrinsic Value 51.32%

Regions Financial Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.52 in 2014 to an estimated $1.02 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 5.37% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Regions Financial Corp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $19.76. The company pays a dividend of $0.32 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.25, which was below the industry average of 24.17, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Regions Financial Corp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $19.76
PEmg 19.25
PB Ratio 1.41
Dividend Yield 1.60%
TTM Dividend $0.32
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2017
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $8,132,000,000
Total Assets $124,294,000,000
Intangible Assets $5,417,000,000
Total Liabilities $108,102,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 1,165,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.28
Dec2017 $1.00
Dec2016 $0.87
Dec2015 $0.75
Dec2014 $0.79
Dec2013 $0.75
Dec2012 $0.71
Dec2011 -$0.34
Dec2010 -$0.62
Dec2009 -$1.27
Dec2008 -$8.09
Dec2007 $1.76
Dec2006 $2.67
Dec2005 $2.15
Dec2004 $2.19
Dec2003 $2.90
Dec2002 $2.72
Dec2001 $1.82
Dec2000 $1.92
Dec1999 $1.90
Dec1998 $1.88

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.02
Dec2017 $0.87
Dec2016 $0.80
Dec2015 $0.68
Dec2014 $0.52
Dec2013 $0.20
Dec2012 -$0.69
Dec2011 -$1.49
Dec2010 -$1.75
Dec2009 -$1.73
Dec2008 -$1.26
Dec2007 $2.21
Dec2006 $2.47
Dec2005 $2.36
Dec2004 $2.42
Dec2003 $2.44
Dec2002 $2.15

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Regions Financial Corp – June 2016 $RF
58 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/31/15
Regions Financial Corporation Annual Valuation – 2015 $RF
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 1/25/14
Regions Financial Corp (RF) Annual Valuation

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – March 2018 $KEY
Canadian Western Bank Valuation – March 2018 $TSE-CWB
Simmons First National Corp Valuation – March 2018 $SFNC
Citigroup Inc Valuation – March 2018 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – February 2018 $JPM
Opus Bank Valuation – Initial Coverage $OPB
Wells Fargo & Co Valuation – August 2017 $WFC
Old National Bancorp Valuation – Initial Coverage $ONB

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Huntington Bancshares Inc Valuation – March 2018 $HBAN

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (Huntington), incorporated on April 14, 1966, is a bank holding company. Through its subsidiaries, including its bank subsidiary, The Huntington National Bank (the Bank), the Company provides commercial and consumer banking services, mortgage banking services, automobile financing, recreational vehicle and marine financing, equipment leasing, investment management, trust services, brokerage services, insurance programs, and other financial products and services. Its segments include Consumer and Business Banking, Commercial Banking, Commercial Real Estate and Vehicle Finance, Regional Banking and The Huntington Private Client Group, Home Lending and Treasury/Other.

HBAN Chart

HBAN data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of HBAN – March 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $17,227,469,674 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -152.43% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 17.23 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.81 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $0.93
MG Growth Estimate 6.15%
MG Value $19.41
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $13.52
MG Value based on 0% Growth $7.93
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.37%
Current Price $16.07
% of Intrinsic Value 82.80%

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.66 in 2014 to an estimated $0.93 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 4.37% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Huntington Bancshares Incorporated revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $15.07. The company pays a dividend of $0.35 per share, for a yield of 2.2%, putting it among the best dividend paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 17.23, which was below the industry average of 24.17, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Huntington Bancshares Incorporated performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $15.07
PEmg 17.23
PB Ratio 1.81
Dividend Yield 2.18%
TTM Dividend $0.35
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2017
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $12,931,000,000
Total Assets $104,185,000,000
Intangible Assets $2,577,000,000
Total Liabilities $93,371,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 1,221,110,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.11
Dec2017 $1.00
Dec2016 $0.70
Dec2015 $0.81
Dec2014 $0.72
Dec2013 $0.72
Dec2012 $0.69
Dec2011 $0.59
Dec2010 $0.19
Dec2009 -$6.14
Dec2008 -$0.44
Dec2007 $0.25
Dec2006 $1.92
Dec2005 $1.77
Dec2004 $1.71
Dec2003 $1.61
Dec2002 $1.33
Dec2001 $0.54
Dec2000 $1.29
Dec1999 $1.62
Dec1998 $1.17

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $0.93
Dec2017 $0.83
Dec2016 $0.74
Dec2015 $0.74
Dec2014 $0.66
Dec2013 $0.16
Dec2012 -$0.42
Dec2011 -$1.02
Dec2010 -$1.50
Dec2009 -$1.74
Dec2008 $0.65
Dec2007 $1.28
Dec2006 $1.76
Dec2005 $1.58
Dec2004 $1.42
Dec2003 $1.28
Dec2002 $1.14

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

19 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 1/9/16
Huntington Bancshares Valuation – January 2016 Update $HBAN
The Best Companies of the Banking Industry – October 2015
13 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 10/3/15
Huntington Bancshares Inc. Analysis – October 2015 Update $HBAN

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – March 2018 $KEY
Canadian Western Bank Valuation – March 2018 $TSE-CWB
Simmons First National Corp Valuation – March 2018 $SFNC
Citigroup Inc Valuation – March 2018 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – February 2018 $JPM
Opus Bank Valuation – Initial Coverage $OPB
Wells Fargo & Co Valuation – August 2017 $WFC
Old National Bancorp Valuation – Initial Coverage $ONB

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

Zions Bancorp Valuation – March 2018 $ZION

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): Zions Bancorporation, incorporated on April 25, 1955, is a financial holding company. The Company conducts its banking operations through separately managed and branded segments, including Zions Bank, Amegy Bank, California Bank & Trust, National Bank of Arizona, Nevada State Bank (NSB), Vectra Bank Colorado, The Commerce Bank of Washington (TCBW) and Other. The Company provides a range of banking and related services, primarily in Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington and Wyoming.

ZION Chart

ZION data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of ZION – March 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $11,089,770,093 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -168.19% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 22.54 Fail
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.52 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $2.46
MG Growth Estimate 15.00%
MG Value $94.84
Opinion Undervalued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $35.72
MG Value based on 0% Growth $20.94
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.02%
Current Price $55.52
% of Intrinsic Value 58.54%

Zions Bancorp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years, and the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.12 in 2014 to an estimated $2.46 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market’s implied estimate of 7.02% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Zions Bancorp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $51.71. The company pays a dividend of $0.44 per share, for a yield of 0.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 22.54, which was below the industry average of 24.17, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

Zions Bancorp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $51.71
PEmg 22.54
PB Ratio 1.52
Dividend Yield 0.79%
TTM Dividend $0.44
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 5

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2017
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $383,000,000
Total Assets $66,288,000,000
Intangible Assets $1,016,000,000
Total Liabilities $58,609,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 210,514,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $3.30
Dec2017 $2.60
Dec2016 $1.99
Dec2015 $1.20
Dec2014 $1.68
Dec2013 $1.58
Dec2012 $0.97
Dec2011 $0.83
Dec2010 -$2.48
Dec2009 -$9.92
Dec2008 -$2.68
Dec2007 $4.42
Dec2006 $5.36
Dec2005 $5.16
Dec2004 $4.47
Dec2003 $3.72
Dec2002 $2.78
Dec2001 $3.07
Dec2000 $1.86
Dec1999 $2.26
Dec1998 $1.75

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $2.46
Dec2017 $1.97
Dec2016 $1.59
Dec2015 $1.35
Dec2014 $1.12
Dec2013 -$0.04
Dec2012 -$1.45
Dec2011 -$2.43
Dec2010 -$3.06
Dec2009 -$2.08
Dec2008 $2.34
Dec2007 $4.78
Dec2006 $4.74
Dec2005 $4.23
Dec2004 $3.57
Dec2003 $2.99
Dec2002 $2.54

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Zions Bancorp Valuation – June 2016 $ZION
40 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 2/21/15
Zions Bancorporation Annual Valuation – 2015 $ZION
14 Companies in the Spotlight This Week – 2/15/14
Zions Bancorporation (ZION) Annual Valuation

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PNC
KeyCorp Valuation – March 2018 $KEY
Canadian Western Bank Valuation – March 2018 $TSE-CWB
Simmons First National Corp Valuation – March 2018 $SFNC
Citigroup Inc Valuation – March 2018 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – February 2018 $JPM
Opus Bank Valuation – Initial Coverage $OPB
Wells Fargo & Co Valuation – August 2017 $WFC
Old National Bancorp Valuation – Initial Coverage $ONB

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

State Street Corp Valuation – March 2018 $STT

Company Profile (excerpt from Reuters): State Street Corporation, incorporated on October 16, 1969, is a financial holding company. The Company operates through two lines of business: Investment Servicing and Investment Management. The Company, through its subsidiary, State Street Bank and Trust Company (State Street Bank), provides a range of financial products and services to institutional investors across the world. Its clients include mutual funds, collective investment funds and other investment pools, corporate and public retirement plans, insurance companies, foundations, endowments and investment managers.

STT Chart

STT data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of STT – March 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $39,631,322,674 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 565.23% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 19.21 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.80 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $5.56
MG Growth Estimate 4.67%
MG Value $99.20
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade C+
MG Value based on 3% Growth $80.66
MG Value based on 0% Growth $47.28
Market Implied Growth Rate 5.36%
Current Price $106.87
% of Intrinsic Value 107.73%

State Street Corp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $4.24 in 2014 to an estimated $5.56 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 5.36% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into State Street Corp revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $89.34. The company pays a dividend of $1.6 per share, for a yield of 1.5% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 19.21, which was below the industry average of 24.17, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

State Street Corp receives an average overall rating in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a C+.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $89.34
PEmg 19.21
PB Ratio 1.80
Dividend Yield 1.50%
TTM Dividend $1.60
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2017
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $11,620,000,000
Total Assets $238,425,000,000
Intangible Assets $7,635,000,000
Total Liabilities $216,108,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 375,515,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $6.82
Dec2017 $5.24
Dec2016 $4.97
Dec2015 $4.47
Dec2014 $4.53
Dec2013 $4.43
Dec2012 $4.20
Dec2011 $3.79
Dec2010 $3.09
Dec2009 -$4.32
Dec2008 $4.30
Dec2007 $3.45
Dec2006 $3.29
Dec2005 $2.50
Dec2004 $2.35
Dec2003 $2.15
Dec2002 $3.10
Dec2001 $1.90
Dec2000 $1.82
Dec1999 $1.89
Dec1998 $1.33

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $5.56
Dec2017 $4.87
Dec2016 $4.63
Dec2015 $4.40
Dec2014 $4.24
Dec2013 $3.48
Dec2012 $2.74
Dec2011 $2.03
Dec2010 $1.42
Dec2009 $1.00
Dec2008 $3.50
Dec2007 $2.98
Dec2006 $2.73
Dec2005 $2.43
Dec2004 $2.35
Dec2003 $2.29
Dec2002 $2.24

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

State Street Corp Valuation – June 2016 $STT
9 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 11/28/15
State Street Corp Valuation – November 2015 Update $STT
The Best Companies of the Banking Industry – October 2015
19 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 8/29/15

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

KeyCorp Valuation – March 2018 $KEY
Canadian Western Bank Valuation – March 2018 $TSE-CWB
Simmons First National Corp Valuation – March 2018 $SFNC
Citigroup Inc Valuation – March 2018 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – February 2018 $JPM
Opus Bank Valuation – Initial Coverage $OPB
Wells Fargo & Co Valuation – August 2017 $WFC
Old National Bancorp Valuation – Initial Coverage $ONB
Dime Community Bancshares Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $DCOM

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

PNC Financial Services Group Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PNC

Company Profile (obtained from Marketwatch): PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. engages in the provision of diversified financial services, including retail and business banking; residential mortgage banking; specialized services for corporations and government entities, including corporate banking, real estate finance and asset-backed lending; wealth management and asset management. It operates through the following segments: Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, Asset Management Group, Residential Mortgage Banking, BlackRock and Non-Strategic Assets Portfolio. The Retail Banking segment provides deposit, lending, brokerage, trust, investment management, and cash management services to consumer and small business customers within its primary geographic markets. The Corporate & Institutional segment provides lending, treasury management, and capital markets-related products and services to mid-sized corporations, government and not-for-profit entities, and selectively to large corporations. The Asset Management Group segment includes personal wealth management for high net worth and ultra high net worth clients and institutional asset management. The Residential Mortgage Banking segment directly originates primarily first lien residential mortgage loans on a nationwide basis with a significant presence within the retail banking footprint, and also originates loans through majority and minority owned affiliates. Mortgage loans represent loans collateralized by one-to-four-family residential real estate. The BlackRock segment manages assets on behalf of institutional and individual investors worldwide through a variety of equity, fixed income, multi-asset class, alternative and cash management separate accounts and funds, including iShares. The Non-Strategic Assets Portfolio segment offers commercial residential development loans, cross-border leases, consumer brokered home equity loans, retail mortgages, non-prime mortgages, and residential construction loans. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, PA.

PNC Chart

PNC data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of PNC – March 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $76,161,485,882 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Pass
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end 74.71% Pass
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 17.84 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.62 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $8.97
MG Growth Estimate 5.44%
MG Value $173.90
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade B-
MG Value based on 3% Growth $130.13
MG Value based on 0% Growth $76.28
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.67%
Current Price $160.07
% of Intrinsic Value 92.05%

PNC Financial Services Group Inc qualifies for both the Defensive Investor and the Enterprising Investor. In fact, the company meets all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company’s strong financial position . The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all value investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $6.59 in 2014 to an estimated $8.97 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 4.67% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into PNC Financial Services Group Inc revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $149.13. The company pays a dividend of $2.6 per share, for a yield of 1.6% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 17.84, which was below the industry average of 24.17, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

PNC Financial Services Group Inc performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B-.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $149.13
PEmg 17.84
PB Ratio 1.62
Dividend Yield 1.62%
TTM Dividend $2.60
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

Useful Links:

ModernGraham tagged articles Morningstar
Google Finance MSN Money
Yahoo Finance Seeking Alpha
GuruFocus SEC Filings

Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2017
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $59,088,000,000
Total Assets $380,768,000,000
Intangible Assets $11,005,000,000
Total Liabilities $333,255,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 480,000,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $9.84
Dec2017 $10.36
Dec2016 $7.30
Dec2015 $7.39
Dec2014 $7.30
Dec2013 $7.36
Dec2012 $5.28
Dec2011 $5.64
Dec2010 $5.74
Dec2009 $4.36
Dec2008 $2.44
Dec2007 $4.35
Dec2006 $8.73
Dec2005 $4.55
Dec2004 $4.21
Dec2003 $3.55
Dec2002 $4.15
Dec2001 $1.26
Dec2000 $4.31
Dec1999 $4.15
Dec1998 $3.60

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $8.97
Dec2017 $8.34
Dec2016 $7.20
Dec2015 $6.96
Dec2014 $6.59
Dec2013 $6.05
Dec2012 $5.16
Dec2011 $4.90
Dec2010 $4.73
Dec2009 $4.44
Dec2008 $4.61
Dec2007 $5.49
Dec2006 $5.72
Dec2005 $3.99
Dec2004 $3.64
Dec2003 $3.39
Dec2002 $3.37

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

12 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 11/14/15
PNC Financial Services Group Valuation – November 2015 Update $PNC
The Best Companies of the Banking Industry – October 2015
The 20 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 8/15/15
PNC Financial Services Group Inc. Analysis – August 2015 Update $PNC

Other ModernGraham posts about related companies

KeyCorp Valuation – March 2018 $KEY
Canadian Western Bank Valuation – March 2018 $TSE-CWB
Simmons First National Corp Valuation – March 2018 $SFNC
Citigroup Inc Valuation – March 2018 $C
People’s United Financial Inc Valuation – March 2018 $PBCT
JPMorgan Chase & Co Valuation – February 2018 $JPM
Opus Bank Valuation – Initial Coverage $OPB
Wells Fargo & Co Valuation – August 2017 $WFC
Old National Bancorp Valuation – Initial Coverage $ONB
Dime Community Bancshares Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $DCOM

Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

KeyCorp Valuation – March 2018 $KEY

Company Profile (obtained from Marketwatch): KeyCorp operates as bank holding company. The company through its subsidiary, KeyBank National Association provides retail and commercial banking, commercial leasing, investment management, consumer finance and investment banking products and services to individual, corporate and institutional clients. It operates through two business segments: Key Community Bank and Key Corporate Bank. The Key Community Bank segment serves individuals and small to mid-sized businesses by offering a variety of deposit, investment, lending, and personalized wealth management products and services. The Key Corporate Bank segment focuses on serving the needs of middle market clients in six industry sectors: consumer, energy, healthcare, industrial, public sector and real estate. Key Corporate Bank delivers a broad product suite of banking and capital markets products to its clients, including syndicated finance, debt and equity capital markets, commercial payments, equipment finance, commercial mortgage banking, derivatives, foreign exchange, financial advisory and public finance. KeyCorp was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Cleveland, OH.

KEY Chart

KEY data by YCharts

 

Downloadable PDF version of this valuation:

ModernGraham Valuation of KEY – March 2018

Stage 1: Is this company suitable for the Defensive Investor or the Enterprising Investor?

What kind of Intelligent Investor are you?

Defensive Investor; must pass all 6 of the following tests.
1. Adequate Size of the Enterprise Market Cap > $2Bil $22,178,972,954 Pass
2. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 10 years prior Fail
3. Dividend Record Dividend Payments for 10 years prior Pass
4. Earnings Growth Increase of 33% in EPS in past 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end -440.78% Fail
5. Moderate PEmg Ratio PEmg < 20 17.51 Pass
6. Moderate Price to Assets PB Ratio < 2.5 OR PB*PEmg < 50 1.50 Pass
Enterprising Investor; must pass all 3 of the following tests, or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.
1. Earnings Stability Positive EPS for 5 years prior Pass
2. Dividend Record Currently Pays Dividend Pass
3. Earnings Growth EPSmg greater than 5 years ago Pass

 

Stage 2: Determination of Intrinsic Value

EPSmg $1.19
MG Growth Estimate 4.64%
MG Value $21.22
Opinion Fairly Valued
MG Grade B
MG Value based on 3% Growth $17.31
MG Value based on 0% Growth $10.15
Market Implied Growth Rate 4.51%
Current Price $20.91
% of Intrinsic Value 98.52%

KeyCorp is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Fairly Valued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.91 in 2014 to an estimated $1.19 for 2018. This level of demonstrated earnings growth supports the market’s implied estimate of 4.51% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham’s formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value within a margin of safety relative to the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into KeyCorp revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.58. The company pays a dividend of $0.38 per share, for a yield of 1.8% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 17.51, which was below the industry average of 24.17, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry.

KeyCorp performs fairly well in the ModernGraham grading system, scoring a B.

Stage 3: Information for Further Research

Graham Number $21.58
PEmg 17.51
PB Ratio 1.50
Dividend Yield 1.82%
TTM Dividend $0.38
Number of Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth 7

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Most Recent Balance Sheet Figures

Balance Sheet Information 12/1/2017
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation $14,333,000,000
Total Assets $137,698,000,000
Intangible Assets $2,954,000,000
Total Liabilities $122,675,000,000
Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) 1,079,407,000

Earnings Per Share History

EPS History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.58
Dec2017 $1.13
Dec2016 $0.80
Dec2015 $1.05
Dec2014 $0.99
Dec2013 $0.97
Dec2012 $0.89
Dec2011 $0.87
Dec2010 $0.44
Dec2009 -$2.34
Dec2008 -$3.36
Dec2007 $2.32
Dec2006 $2.57
Dec2005 $2.73
Dec2004 $2.30
Dec2003 $2.12
Dec2002 $2.27
Dec2001 $0.31
Dec2000 $2.30
Dec1999 $2.45
Dec1998 $2.23

Earnings Per Share – ModernGraham History

EPSmg History
Next Fiscal Year Estimate $1.19
Dec2017 $1.00
Dec2016 $0.93
Dec2015 $0.98
Dec2014 $0.91
Dec2013 $0.64
Dec2012 $0.08
Dec2011 -$0.35
Dec2010 -$0.67
Dec2009 -$0.69
Dec2008 $0.53
Dec2007 $2.45
Dec2006 $2.48
Dec2005 $2.27
Dec2004 $1.98
Dec2003 $1.84
Dec2002 $1.77

Recommended Reading:

Other ModernGraham posts about the company

Stocks Trading Below Their Graham Number – March 2016
5 Undervalued Companies for Enterprising Investors Near 52 Week Lows – January 2016
9 Best Stocks For Value Investors This Week – 11/28/15
KeyCorp Valuation – November 2015 Update $KEY
The Best Companies of the Banking Industry – October 2015

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Dime Community Bancshares Inc Valuation – Initial Coverage $DCOM
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Disclaimer:

The author did not hold a position in any company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.  See my current holdings here.  This article is not investment advice; any reader should speak to a registered investment adviser prior to making any investment decisions.  ModernGraham is not affiliated with the company in any manner.  Please be sure to review our detailed disclaimer.

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